Bonds Analysis & Opinion

US Treasuries have been an enigma the past 3 years. Just as the Fed states an end to Quantitative Easing, instead of losing value they start to rise. A rate hike in December 2015 also saw an...

Rates continue to rise, though stocks remain oblivious. The yield on the 10-Year US Treasury continues to soar, with a confirmed breakout from its 10-year downtrend. Now, cynics would ask,...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators increased their bearish net positions in the 10 year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of...

The High-Yield Corporate Bonds ETF (NYSE:HYG) is in jeopardy at major resistance.The monthly chart below shows that price is facing double resistance at the confluence of a 60% Fibonacci retracement...

With the latest round of flash manufacturing PMI data and a couple of key levels already being breached (across markets), it's a good opportunity to review the outlook for bond yields. Forecasting...

Perhaps the best tool for anticipating major shifts in the financial system is the ratio between iShares TIPS Bond (NYSE:TIP): and the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (NASDAQ:TLT). In its simplest...

There’s nothing especially special about 2.62%. It’s a level pretty much like any other, given significance by only one phrase: the highest since 2014. It sounds impressive, which is the...

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 16, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 89.3k, down 107.6k.A Bloomberg article last week about China beginning to weigh slowing or...

When a long-held market correlation begins to break, we wait to see if the divergence is temporary before making predictions whether the disparity will continue or not. Either way, we must attempt to...

We've been long TBT – the inverse, double-levered, longer-term T-bond ETF – expecting a downturn in t-bond prices in conjunction with a generational opportunity to capture the upturn in...

Maybe it’s due to a global savings glut. Or perhaps fear continues to lurk in the hearts of overseas investors, inspiring a constant flow into safe-haven Treasuries in spite of firmer economic...

Of my five long-term option put positions – expiration: January 2019 – by far my favorite is bonds, symbol TLT. The pattern is about 70% complete at this point, but if it finishes,...

What if? What if China proceeds to reduce its purchases of Treasury securities? At $1.18 trillion, it is the largest holder. Japan – at $1.08 trillion – is close second. The U.S. Treasury...

Stocks are about to wake up to the risk of “higher rates.”As I outlined in my bestselling book, The Everything Bubble: The Endgame For Central Bank Policy, the entire stock market move...