Bonds Analysis & Opinion

We've been long TBT – the inverse, double-levered, longer-term T-bond ETF – expecting a downturn in t-bond prices in conjunction with a generational opportunity to capture the upturn in...

Maybe it’s due to a global savings glut. Or perhaps fear continues to lurk in the hearts of overseas investors, inspiring a constant flow into safe-haven Treasuries in spite of firmer economic...

Of my five long-term option put positions – expiration: January 2019 – by far my favorite is bonds, symbol TLT. The pattern is about 70% complete at this point, but if it finishes,...

What if? What if China proceeds to reduce its purchases of Treasury securities? At $1.18 trillion, it is the largest holder. Japan – at $1.08 trillion – is close second. The U.S. Treasury...

Stocks are about to wake up to the risk of “higher rates.”As I outlined in my bestselling book, The Everything Bubble: The Endgame For Central Bank Policy, the entire stock market move...

Stock bulls historically like to see junk bonds moving higher yet worry when they are weak. Some view junk bonds as a leading indicator to where stocks are headed. Others get concerned for stocks when...

I asked myself what can be loss if I you have a EUR portfolio with 100,000 DV01 and duration of 5. Well, I start thinking I am obsessed with 5 year duration. However, for your information in this...

The 10 year yield close at 2.55 trades directly below 2.58 and its next break point at the 10 year monthly average. What’s driving the 10 year yield is the rising and now skyrocket overbought 10...

It's earnings season on Wall Street and everyone is focused on the big banks.Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), Blackrock (NYSE:BLK), and JP Morgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) will all report their fourth-quarter earnings...

The amount of mistaken hype over the years on this subject has simply been staggering.Here are some Tweets from today. Historic Headline Not Mathematical Certainty The US runs a trade deficit. As...

The US Treasury market was consolidating Tuesday's 7.5 basis point jump in 10-year yields when Bloomberg's headline hit. The claim was that Chinese officials are "wary of Treasuries". Yields rose...

How many of you can remember when US Treasury Bonds were physical pieces of paper, with coupons attached to them? I do not mean the Series E savings bonds you may have received at your birth, but the...

Last year the ECB announced adjustments to the asset purchasing program. It was decreased from 60 bn to 30 bn. As a result market started pricing bearish movement of European govies, what was logical...

US 10-year bond yields have moved through a number of key levels and are on the cusp of a major breakout. Regular readers know by now that I prefer to look at multiple indicators and charts to form a...