Bonds Analysis & Opinion

The discussion today is much about the 10yr Treas rate breaching above 3%. Higher rates can have an impact on asset prices when compared to Cash Flow Yields as shown in the Dow Jones REIT (DJR) vs...

This week, we're looking at some fresh flash economic data: The Markit flash PMIs. Using GDP weights we can construct a "global flash PMI" and the reason for doing so will become obvious very quickly....

Interest rates have been falling for nearly three decades. Could the trend of lower rates be over? A big test to this trend is in play right now! Above looks at 10 and 30-year yields since early...

I was updating some of my bond strategy charts this morning and one that caught my eye that I thought would be timely and interesting to share is the seasonality charts. No, not the "sell in May"...

I was a bit concerned on Friday night when Kim Jong Un announced peace and love for all humanity, but equities aren’t exactly blowing through the roof. In fact, the overnight session started...

The recent move higher in the 10-year Treasury yield was somewhat surprising since the ” the yield curve is going to invert” and “the-sky-is-falling” crowd was out in full...

The 10-year Treasury yield is two bps away from its 2018 high of 2.95% and through that level is 3-3.03%, which are the 2013-high ticks for the key Treasury security, and once we take out 3.03%, we...

The difference between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury rates narrowed to 47 basis points on Monday (April 16) – the smallest gap since late-2007. The last time this widely followed spread was...

US 10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond market speculators reduced their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment...

Stories about the death of the bond market have been circulating since 1992. Every one of them has been wrong. Deflationary Period Over? At Mauldin's latest conference, Gavekal's Louis-Vincent Gave...

A widely followed measure of the Treasury yield curve has resumed its decline in recent days, dipping to its flattest level in more than a decade. The narrowing between long and short rates is...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators strongly added to their bearish net positions in the US 10 Year T-Note Futures markets this week, according to the latest...

The only way to change the meaning of a word like “transitory” is to put together a constant string of temporary factors that when taken individually keep with the traditional definition...