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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Jan 29, 2025 02:00PM ET
3
Weeks
6
Days
14
Hours
2
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jan 29, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.673
4.00 - 4.25
12.2%
4.25 - 4.50
87.8%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 87.8% | 90.0% | 91.1% |
Updated: Jan 01, 2025 11:35PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 19, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.740
3.75 - 4.00
5.4%
4.00 - 4.25
45.5%
4.25 - 4.50
49.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 45.5% | 48.4% | 39.8% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 49.2% | 46.8% | 56.8% |
Updated: Jan 01, 2025 11:35PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
May 07, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.855
3.50 - 3.75
1.2%
3.75 - 4.00
14.2%
4.00 - 4.25
46.3%
4.25 - 4.50
38.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 14.2% | 13.5% | 9.3% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 46.3% | 48.1% | 42.6% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 38.4% | 37.4% | 47.5% |
Updated: Jan 01, 2025 11:35PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 18, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.905
3.25 - 3.50
0.4%
3.50 - 3.75
6.0%
3.75 - 4.00
26.0%
4.00 - 4.25
43.4%
4.25 - 4.50
24.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 26.0% | 26.3% | 17.1% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 43.4% | 44.2% | 43.8% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 24.2% | 23.6% | 36.4% |
Updated: Jan 01, 2025 11:35PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 30, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.960
3.25 - 3.50
1.4%
3.50 - 3.75
9.4%
3.75 - 4.00
29.0%
4.00 - 4.25
40.1%
4.25 - 4.50
20.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 9.4% | 9.1% | 5.6% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 29.0% | 29.3% | 22.6% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 40.1% | 40.6% | 42.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 20.1% | 19.6% | 28.9% |
Updated: Jan 01, 2025 11:35PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 17, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.020
3.00 - 3.25
0.3%
3.25 - 3.50
2.9%
3.50 - 3.75
13.1%
3.75 - 4.00
31.1%
4.00 - 4.25
36.3%
4.25 - 4.50
16.3%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.3% | 0.3% | — |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 2.9% | 2.6% | — |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 13.1% | 12.5% | — |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 31.1% | 31.2% | — |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 36.3% | 37.1% | — |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 16.3% | 16.3% | — |
Updated: Jan 01, 2025 11:35PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 29, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.045
3.00 - 3.25
0.6%
3.25 - 3.50
4.0%
3.50 - 3.75
15.1%
3.75 - 4.00
31.7%
4.00 - 4.25
34.1%
4.25 - 4.50
14.5%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.6% | 0.5% | — |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 4.0% | 3.7% | — |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 15.1% | 14.6% | — |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 31.7% | 31.9% | — |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 34.1% | 34.8% | — |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 14.5% | 14.5% | — |
Updated: Jan 01, 2025 11:35PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 10, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.090
3.00 - 3.25
0.8%
3.25 - 3.50
4.7%
3.50 - 3.75
16.1%
3.75 - 4.00
31.8%
4.00 - 4.25
32.9%
4.25 - 4.50
13.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.8% | 0.9% | — |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 4.7% | 5.0% | — |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 16.1% | 16.7% | — |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 31.8% | 32.2% | — |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 32.9% | 32.3% | — |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 13.6% | 12.7% | — |
Updated: Jan 01, 2025 11:35PM EST
Fed Fund Rates
News
Stock market today: S&P 500 slips on cautious sentiment as year nears end
By Investing.com - Dec 30, 2024
26
Investing.com -- The S&P 500 fell Monday, as investors appeared to take some profit on stocks as a strong year draws to an end. At 4:00 p.m. ET (21:00 GMT), the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down...
Next Fed cut, Bitcoin, Japanese manufacturing - what's moving markets
By Investing.com - Dec 30, 2024
10
Investing.com -- Wall Street is seen trading slightly lower Monday, starting the final week of the year on a negative note as investors bank profits from the generally positive final quarter. Future...
Fed's rate path, Starbucks, xAI funding - what's moving markets
By Investing.com - Dec 24, 2024
3
Investing.com -- Wall Street is seen trading largely flat in holiday-impacted trade Tuesday, with Starbucks in focus as the strike affecting the coffee chain looks set to expand. The pat of future Fed...
Analysis
The Fed's Economic Projections Aren't Living Up to Expectations
By Claudia Sahm - Dec 31, 2024
6
On December 18th, the Fed officials voted to reduce the fund’s rate by 25 basis points, tightened their forward guidance on future cuts, and issued a new Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) with...
The Bond Market Crisis: Inflation, Debt, and the Fed's Balancing Act
By Stefan Gleason - Dec 30, 2024
In a gripping Christmas-week interview, Mike Maharrey spoke with Michael G. Pento, a noted economist, portfolio strategist, and author of The Coming Bond Market Collapse, to dissect the Federal...
7 Wild REIT Yields Offering Up to 15% Returns for 2025
By Brett Owens - Dec 30, 2024
Need more dividend yield in 2025? Consider real estate investment trusts (REITs), which were literally mandated to be dividend-paying machines. Income is the point—by law. Select REITs even yield 10%...