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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Mar 19, 2025 02:00PM ET
5
Weeks
2
Days
12
Hours
19
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 19, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.680
4.00 - 4.25
8.0%
4.25 - 4.50
92.0%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 8.0% | 16.0% | 16.0% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 92.0% | 84.0% | 84.0% |
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 12:35AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
May 07, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.735
3.75 - 4.00
1.5%
4.00 - 4.25
23.2%
4.25 - 4.50
75.3%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 1.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 23.2% | 32.9% | 33.4% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 75.3% | 63.2% | 62.5% |
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 12:35AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 18, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.775
3.50 - 3.75
0.5%
3.75 - 4.00
9.4%
4.00 - 4.25
42.3%
4.25 - 4.50
47.7%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 9.4% | 15.4% | 17.9% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 42.3% | 44.9% | 47.1% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 47.7% | 38.1% | 33.1% |
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 12:35AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 30, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.830
3.25 - 3.50
0.1%
3.50 - 3.75
2.2%
3.75 - 4.00
15.8%
4.00 - 4.25
43.4%
4.25 - 4.50
38.5%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 2.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 15.8% | 22.4% | 24.1% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 43.4% | 43.3% | 44.1% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 38.5% | 29.1% | 26.0% |
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 12:35AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 17, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.905
3.25 - 3.50
0.7%
3.50 - 3.75
6.1%
3.75 - 4.00
23.6%
4.00 - 4.25
42.0%
4.25 - 4.50
27.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 6.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 23.6% | 28.7% | 30.2% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 42.0% | 39.0% | 38.6% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 27.6% | 20.3% | 18.2% |
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 12:35AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 29, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.950
3.00 - 3.25
0.1%
3.25 - 3.50
1.7%
3.50 - 3.75
9.2%
3.75 - 4.00
26.8%
4.00 - 4.25
39.5%
4.25 - 4.50
22.7%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 9.2% | 13.4% | 14.4% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 26.8% | 30.5% | 31.7% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 39.5% | 35.7% | 35.0% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 22.7% | 16.7% | 14.9% |
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 12:35AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 10, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.025
3.00 - 3.25
0.5%
3.25 - 3.50
3.2%
3.50 - 3.75
12.7%
3.75 - 4.00
29.4%
4.00 - 4.25
36.1%
4.25 - 4.50
18.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 12.7% | 17.2% | 17.6% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 29.4% | 31.7% | 32.3% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 36.1% | 31.5% | 31.3% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 18.2% | 13.0% | 12.2% |
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 12:35AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jan 26, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.045
3.00 - 3.25
0.7%
3.25 - 3.50
4.1%
3.50 - 3.75
14.4%
3.75 - 4.00
30.0%
4.00 - 4.25
34.3%
4.25 - 4.50
16.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 14.4% | 18.6% | 18.7% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 30.0% | 31.7% | 32.2% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 34.3% | 29.7% | 29.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 16.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% |
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 12:35AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 18, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.075
2.75 - 3.00
0.1%
3.00 - 3.25
1.1%
3.25 - 3.50
5.1%
3.50 - 3.75
15.9%
3.75 - 4.00
30.4%
4.00 - 4.25
32.6%
4.25 - 4.50
14.8%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 - 2.25 | — | — | — |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 15.9% | 21.0% | 19.5% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 30.4% | 31.3% | 32.1% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 32.6% | 26.4% | 28.8% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 14.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% |
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 12:35AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Apr 29, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.090
2.75 - 3.00
0.2%
3.00 - 3.25
1.2%
3.25 - 3.50
5.6%
3.50 - 3.75
16.5%
3.75 - 4.00
30.5%
4.00 - 4.25
31.8%
4.25 - 4.50
14.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 - 2.25 | — | — | — |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 16.5% | 20.3% | 19.8% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 30.5% | 30.6% | 32.0% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 31.8% | 26.7% | 28.4% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 14.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | — | 0.6% | — |
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 12:35AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 17, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.100
2.75 - 3.00
0.2%
3.00 - 3.25
1.3%
3.25 - 3.50
5.9%
3.50 - 3.75
16.9%
3.75 - 4.00
30.6%
4.00 - 4.25
31.3%
4.25 - 4.50
13.7%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 - 2.00 | — | — | — |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 1.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 5.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 16.9% | 21.6% | 20.1% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 30.6% | 30.1% | 31.9% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 31.3% | 24.6% | 27.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 13.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | — | 0.5% | — |
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 12:35AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 29, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.105
2.75 - 3.00
0.2%
3.00 - 3.25
1.2%
3.25 - 3.50
5.5%
3.50 - 3.75
15.9%
3.75 - 4.00
29.4%
4.00 - 4.25
31.2%
4.25 - 4.50
15.3%
4.50 - 4.75
1.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 - 2.00 | — | — | — |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 1.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 5.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 15.9% | 20.6% | 19.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 29.4% | 29.4% | 30.9% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 31.2% | 25.1% | 28.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 15.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | — | 0.0% | — |
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 12:35AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 16, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.085
2.75 - 3.00
0.2%
3.00 - 3.25
1.4%
3.25 - 3.50
5.8%
3.50 - 3.75
16.4%
3.75 - 4.00
29.4%
4.00 - 4.25
30.7%
4.25 - 4.50
14.9%
4.50 - 4.75
1.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 - 2.00 | — | — | — |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | — | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 5.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 16.4% | 20.8% | 19.4% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 29.4% | 29.2% | 30.8% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 30.7% | 24.6% | 27.7% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 14.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | — | 0.0% | — |
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 12:35AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 28, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.090
2.75 - 3.00
0.2%
3.00 - 3.25
1.3%
3.25 - 3.50
5.4%
3.50 - 3.75
15.4%
3.75 - 4.00
28.2%
4.00 - 4.25
30.6%
4.25 - 4.50
16.3%
4.50 - 4.75
2.4%
4.75 - 5.00
0.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 - 2.00 | — | — | — |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | — | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 5.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 15.4% | 19.8% | 18.3% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 28.2% | 28.5% | 29.7% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 30.6% | 25.1% | 28.0% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 16.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | — | 0.0% | — |
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 12:35AM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 09, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.225
2.50 - 2.75
0.1%
2.75 - 3.00
0.8%
3.00 - 3.25
3.6%
3.25 - 3.50
11.0%
3.50 - 3.75
22.6%
3.75 - 4.00
29.6%
4.00 - 4.25
22.6%
4.25 - 4.50
8.5%
4.50 - 4.75
1.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 - 1.75 | — | — | — |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 11.0% | 15.1% | 14.7% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 22.6% | 24.7% | 26.1% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 29.6% | 26.6% | 28.5% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 22.6% | 17.6% | 17.7% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | — | 0.0% | — |
Updated: Feb 08, 2025 12:35AM EST
Fed Fund Rates
News
Dollar soars on tariffs announcement; euro hit hard
By Investing.com - Feb 03, 2025
1
Investing.com - The US dollar surged higher Monday, climbing to a three-week high after US President Donald Trump delivered on his threat of more trade tariffs, boosting demand for the safe haven. At...
Dollar rises on tariffs threat; euro weakens post ECB
By Investing.com - Jan 31, 2025
1
Investing.com - The US dollar rose Friday following fresh tariff threats from US President Donald Trump, while the euro stayed weak after an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank. At 04:00 ET...
Gold prices hit record peak on safe-haven demand amid Trump tariff threats
By Investing.com - Jan 31, 2025
Investing.com-- Gold prices were largely steady in Asian trading on Friday, but were at a record peak after jumping in the previous session amid uncertainty around U.S. tariffs, while investors...
Analysis
Week Ahead: Fed Chair Powell, US, China and Swiss CPI, US Retail Sales, UK GDP
By Ryan Anderson - Feb 09, 2025
SUN: Chinese Inflation (Jan) MON: Norwegian CPI (Jan) and GDP (Q4/Oct), EZ Sentix Index (Feb), UK GDP (Q4) TUE: EIA STEO WED: OPEC MOMR, US CPI (Jan) THU: IEA OMR, NZ Inflation Forecasts (Q1),...
USD/JPY: Yen Eyes US Payrolls, Japan Household Spending Jumps
By Kenny Fisher - Feb 07, 2025
The Japanese yen is in negative territory on Friday. This follows a two-day rally which saw the yen jump 1.9% and hit a three-month high. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 151.94, up...
US Dollar: Traders Pause Selling as Nonfarm Payrolls Data Looms
By Trading Point - Feb 07, 2025
Dollar rebounds ahead of NFP data. BoE cuts rates by 25bps, ultra-hawk votes for double cut. Canada’s jobs data to shake BoC expectations. S&P 500 and Nasdaq gain, Dow Jones slides. US Jobs...