Bonds Analysis & Opinion

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators increased their bearish bets in the US 10 Year T-Note Futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders...

Every journey starts somewhere. It is the result of a plan or just a thought that is acted upon impulsively. And every one of them takes unexpected twists and turns along the way. Whether it is the...

Municipal bonds might not be the first thing that comes to mind when you think of a sexy investment. They don’t typically command news headlines like the stock market or bitcoin.That...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators strongly increased their bearish net positions in the US 10 Year T-Note Futures markets this week, according to the latest...

Bond investors have a very rocky road in store for them over the next few years, according to one prominent fund manager.Paul Tudor Jones, who runs the Tudor Investment Corporation, issued a stern...

Below looks at the 2-, 5-, 10- and 30-year Treasury yields over the past 30 years. Yields remain inside of their respective 25 year falling channels. Rallies over the past couple of years find each...

This Great Graphic from Bloomberg shows the net large speculative positioning in the 10-year note futures over the past five years. They began last year with a huge next short position of more than...

The top part of the chart above looks at the 10-year yield on a monthly basis going back 14 years. The bottom section looks at the 19-month performance since 2004. Yields are up 94% in the past 19...

Notes From the Rabbit Hole (NFTRH) bonds are not just an asset class ‘throw-in’ but instead are a key indicator set to the entire modern macro. Insofar as it may be time to use them for...

The U.S. sovereign bond market has hit the headlines a lot these days. Rates have rallied big since September 2017 lows, but from suppressed levels, and are at crucial stage technically. At least near...

It’s ‘all a bit upside down’ on market reactions to inflation outlook from CNBC.Right now, it’s all about bond yields. The U.S. market has been extremely expensive by...

Bund can be trading in final stages of a bigger impulsive drop, which can be part of black wave C. Specifically we see price unfolding corrective leg 4, that is now trading at possible resistance...

US 10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large treasury speculators reduced their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note Futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of...

JP Morgan’s quantitative and derivatives strategy team warns of potential short squeeze in US treasuries. Marko Kolanovic, on JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM)'s quantitative team offers a word of warning to...