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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Avi Gilburt
Bonds May Collapse While The Fed Injects QE4 By Avi Gilburt - Oct 25, 2019

Since I wrote my last bond article, we have seen many events which market participants assume have an effect upon the bond market.We have recently seen the Fed lower its rate, in addition to coming to...

Danske Markets
7 Reasons Why Yields Are Higher By Danske Markets - Oct 24, 2019

Since late August, global and European rates have risen markedly. While it is difficult to pinpoint a single trigger, a combination of factors ranging from less geopolitical risks to central banks on...

Harry Dent
How Higher Debts Impact Bond Rates By Harry Dent - Oct 22, 2019

High Debt Doesn’t Equal Higher RatesDr. Lacy Hunt breaks one natural assumption made by investors. You would think that rising government debt levels would lead to higher bond interest rates....

Zachary Storella
10-Year Note Speculators Once Again Trimmed Bearish Bets By Zachary Storella - Oct 20, 2019

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators continued to decrease their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the...

James Picerno
U.S. Bond Market’s Resilience Shines On By James Picerno - Oct 16, 2019

The long-running bull market in bonds continues to defy bearish forecasts, as shown by a set of exchange-traded funds. Positive year-to-date performance in all the major corners of fixed income...

Zachary Storella
10-Year Note Speculators Pared Bearish Bets By Zachary Storella - Oct 13, 2019

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators once again cut back on their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to...

Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC
The Scientism Of Trade Wars By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Oct 10, 2019

One year ago, last October, the IMF published the update to its World Economic Outlook (WEO) for 2018. Like many, the organization began to talk more about trade wars and protectionism. It had become...

Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC
From JOLTS Series Shift To Series Of Rate Cuts By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Oct 10, 2019

I’ve said all along that they would be dragged into them kicking and screaming. After all, the Federal Reserve undertook its last rate hike in December 2018 – just as the markets were...

Todd Sullivan
The Fed Will “Follow” TBill Rates Lower And Cut .25% By Todd Sullivan - Oct 10, 2019

There are presently 3 perceptions by investors watching Fed actions on the Fed Funds rate.1) Some may see another Fed FedFunds rate cut as positive. 2) Some may see the Fed as panicking with...

Hale Stewart
20% Recession Probability In The Next 6-12 Months By Hale Stewart - Oct 07, 2019

SummaryThe long-leading data is still positive, although there's been an uptick in CCC yields.Leading data is mostly positive, although there is weakness in manufacturing sentiment and the yield...

Mike (Mish) Shedlock
Welcome Back 30-Year One Handle We Missed You By Mike (Mish) Shedlock - Oct 07, 2019

The 30-year long bond yield just fell back below 2.00% for the first time since September 4. The 30-year long bond yield rose above 2.00% on September 5 and stayed above that rate for over...

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