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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Zachary Storella
10-Year Note Speculators Trimmed Bearish Bets Last Week By Zachary Storella - Dec 03, 2019

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators reduced their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets last week, according to the latest...

Damanick Dantes
CLO Risk to Create Ripple Effect In Bond Market By Damanick Dantes - Nov 27, 2019

Caldan Partners: The surge in US corporate debt issuance has cast gloom over capitol hill as regulators are concerned that a prolonged period of low interest rates is masking underlying default risk....

Mike (Mish) Shedlock
Questioning The Value Of Junk By Mike (Mish) Shedlock - Nov 27, 2019

I am in awe at how little extra yield investors are willing to take for junk bonds vs AAA-rated Bonds. BBB-rated bonds are just a step away from junk. If you count BBB- then its two...

Gregor Horvat
10 Year U.S. Notes Update - Elliott Wave Analysis   By Gregor Horvat - Nov 26, 2019

The 10 year U.S. notes are currently recovering in five waves, up from the 127.31 area, which gives us an idea that the trend is turning bullish. We also see a break above the upper trend line...

Clive Hale
Who Buys Negative-Yielding Bonds? By Clive Hale - Nov 26, 2019

The total of global bonds on negative yields has fallen from a peak of $17 trillion to “only” $12 trillion, but there is no guarantee that this trend will continue given the...

James Picerno
U.S. Bonds, Foreign REITs: Haven From Selling Last Week By James Picerno - Nov 25, 2019

Most of the major asset classes lost ground last week, according to a set of exchange-traded funds. Bucking the downside trend: US investment-grade bonds and foreign real estate shares. Otherwise, red...

Chris Kimble
Junk Bonds Flirt With Bearish Message For Stocks By Chris Kimble - Nov 21, 2019 3

Are junk bonds about to send stocks an important message? It looks like it based on this chart Junk Bond ETF JNK has created a series of lower highs and lower lows over the past couple of...

Mike (Mish) Shedlock
Checking Back In On The Yield Curve By Mike (Mish) Shedlock - Nov 20, 2019

It's been about a month since I last posted on the yield curve. Let's take a current snapshot. US Treasury Yields 1-Year to 30-Years The 30-year long bond set a new record low...

Joe Perry
10-Year Yields Can’t Take Out 2% As Markets Stall By Joe Perry - Nov 15, 2019 1

Earlier in the week with yields sitting at 1.94%, we pondered whether or not 10-Year yields could push above 2%. Currently that answer is no, as price has broken back through support at 1.91% and is...

James Picerno
Are Bond Funds Misreporting Portfolio Holdings? By James Picerno - Nov 14, 2019

Do you know what’s in your bond fund’s portfolio? A recent study finds that a surprisingly large number of funds are fudging the data. As a result, one or more of the bond mutual funds you...

Mike Paulenoff
Is Yield Emerging Out Of A 38-Year Bear Market? By Mike Paulenoff - Nov 13, 2019 2

Yield has been in a bear market for 38 years. Is that about to end? The 10-Year Treasury yield has backed up from the Sept.-Oct. lows at 1.43% and 1.51% to a high at 1.97% last week. Is this a mere...

Gregor Horvat
Corrective Bonds Indicate Stocks May Face Resistance By Gregor Horvat - Nov 10, 2019

Bonds Market, Stock Market And How They Connect As you can see, US and German Bonds are moving more or less together and the same thing is with US and German stocks. Of course, there are no perfect...

Zachary Storella
10-Year Note Speculators Added To Their Bearish Bets By Zachary Storella - Nov 10, 2019

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators sharply increased their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the...

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