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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Tim Knight
Bonds In Peril By Tim Knight - Dec 17, 2019

As if the equity bulls needed any more help, bonds, by way of TLT, is making its way toward what would be a fairly important support failure. As interest rates creep higher, IYR is...

Zachary Storella
10-Year Note Speculators Pulled Back On Bearish Bets By Zachary Storella - Dec 15, 2019

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators pared their bearish net positions in the 10 Year Note Futures markets this week, according to the latest...

Michael Kramer
The 10-Year Yield Will Rise To 2.3% In 2020 By Michael Kramer - Dec 15, 2019 1

With global growth returning and the U.S. economy surging to a 3% growth rate in 2020, interest rates in the U.S. will begin to rise. It will result in the long-end of the yield curve increasing,...

Carley Garner
Deal Or No Deal? Treasury Markets, S&P 500 Futures In Focus By Carley Garner - Dec 03, 2019

Thanksgiving Didn't Disappoint BullsAs a bear, I was hoping this year would be different but of course, it wasn't. The odds of a Thanksgiving rally in the equity markets are high; light volume tends...

Zachary Storella
10-Year Note Speculators Trimmed Bearish Bets Last Week By Zachary Storella - Dec 03, 2019

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators reduced their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets last week, according to the latest...

Damanick Dantes
CLO Risk to Create Ripple Effect In Bond Market By Damanick Dantes - Nov 27, 2019

Caldan Partners: The surge in US corporate debt issuance has cast gloom over capitol hill as regulators are concerned that a prolonged period of low interest rates is masking underlying default risk....

Mike (Mish) Shedlock
Questioning The Value Of Junk By Mike (Mish) Shedlock - Nov 27, 2019

I am in awe at how little extra yield investors are willing to take for junk bonds vs AAA-rated Bonds. BBB-rated bonds are just a step away from junk. If you count BBB- then its two...

Gregor Horvat
10 Year U.S. Notes Update - Elliott Wave Analysis   By Gregor Horvat - Nov 26, 2019

The 10 year U.S. notes are currently recovering in five waves, up from the 127.31 area, which gives us an idea that the trend is turning bullish. We also see a break above the upper trend line...

Clive Hale
Who Buys Negative-Yielding Bonds? By Clive Hale - Nov 26, 2019

The total of global bonds on negative yields has fallen from a peak of $17 trillion to “only” $12 trillion, but there is no guarantee that this trend will continue given the...

James Picerno
U.S. Bonds, Foreign REITs: Haven From Selling Last Week By James Picerno - Nov 25, 2019

Most of the major asset classes lost ground last week, according to a set of exchange-traded funds. Bucking the downside trend: US investment-grade bonds and foreign real estate shares. Otherwise, red...

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