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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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James Picerno
Long Treasuries Continue To Enjoy Monster Gains In 2020 By James Picerno - Apr 15, 2020

The extraordinary gains in long Treasuries so far this year is a sight to behold. In the rush to safety this year, U.S. debt has been a clear winner and within this space long maturities have left the...

Michael Pento
Inflationary And Insolvency Implosion Of The Bond Market By Michael Pento - Apr 14, 2020 1

We are all praying for the Wuhan virus to die. But there is something the virus can actually “cure” itself: deflation. I put the word cure in quotes because it's not an actual issue in...

Zachary Storella
10-Year Note Speculators Edged Bearish Bets Higher This Week By Zachary Storella - Apr 12, 2020 1

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators slightly added to their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment...

Michael Kramer
Don't Count On Interest Rates Rising Anytime Soon By Michael Kramer - Apr 03, 2020 10

This post was written exclusively for Investing.comYields are likely to remain low for the foreseeable future as the velocity of MZM Money Stock falls to its lowest level in modern times. The...

Zachary Storella
10-Year Note Speculators Cut Back On Bearish Bets This Week By Zachary Storella - Mar 29, 2020

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators trimmed their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futuresmarkets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders...

Chris Kimble
Investment Grade Bonds Breaking 12-Year Support By Chris Kimble - Mar 18, 2020

Boring Investment Grade bonds could be sending a very important macro message of late! This chart looks at Investment Grade ETF (NYSE:LQD) on a weekly basis over the past 20-years. LQD...

James Picerno
U.S. Bond Returns Vary Dramatically So Far In 2020 By James Picerno - Mar 18, 2020

The upheaval in global financial markets this year is unleashing profound effects on U.S. fixed-income assets—negative and positive. Depending on the slice of the bond market, year-to-date...

Chris Kimble
Treasury Bonds Eye Monster Reversal By Chris Kimble - Mar 13, 2020 7

The financial markets have been panicking and it’s producing some huge swings across asset classes. One asset that may be producing a monster reversal is treasury bonds. The flight to safe...

Mike (Mish) Shedlock
Bond Market Dislocation: Here's What's Going On By Mike (Mish) Shedlock - Mar 13, 2020

The "Bond Freak" is wondering what's going on. I have an answer from Lacy Hunt at Hoisington Management. Record 30-Year Long Bond Gyrations What's Going On? Given that a deflationary crash is...

Michael Ashton
TIPS: Big Bet On 10-Year Breakevens At 0.94% By Michael Ashton - Mar 11, 2020 3

I have been tweeting constantly, and telling all of our investors, and anyone else who will listen, that TIPS are being priced at levels that are, to use a technical term, kooky. With current median...

James Picerno
REITs And Bonds Rose Last Weeks As Global Stocks Fell By James Picerno - Mar 09, 2020

Coronavirus-related selling took a toll on equity markets last week (and more of the same is in store for today). But in a striking bit of defiance, US real estate investment trusts (REITs) bucked the...

James Picerno
Will U.S. Treasury Yields Go Negative? By James Picerno - Mar 06, 2020

The relatively high and positive yields in U.S. government bonds have been an outlier in global markets, but coronavirus blowback appears on track to wipe away that spread (or at least make a hefty...

Kevin Erdmann
February 2020 Yield Curve Update By Kevin Erdmann - Mar 03, 2020

Well, this month appears to have presented the triggering event that will tip the Fed's hawkish bias over the tipping point. It seems likely now that the Fed will chase the natural rate down to zero...

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