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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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James Picerno
Are Negative Interest Rates Destiny For The US? By James Picerno - Aug 29, 2019

Actually, negative rates have already reached America’s shore, albeit in selected bond markets for specific maturities. Current “real” yields for inflation-indexed Treasuries for the...

Michael Lebowitz
Sovereign Bonds: The Mechanics Of Absurdity By Michael Lebowitz - Aug 29, 2019

co-authored by Jack ScottOver the past few decades, the central banks, including the Federal Reserve (Fed), have relied increasingly on interest rates to help modify economic growth. Interest rate...

Steve Saville
The Market Leads The Fed…sort Of By Steve Saville - Aug 27, 2019

The relationship between short-term market interest rates and the interest rates set by the Fed is a complicated one. The market makes predictions about what the Fed is going to do and moves in...

Mike (Mish) Shedlock
Yield Curve Screams "Recession" As Trade War Picks Up Steam By Mike (Mish) Shedlock - Aug 26, 2019

Futures pick up where they left off Friday with equity prices and bond yields lower. Sunday Evening Futures Equities DownGold UpTreasury Yields Down As of 1:36 AM Central on Monday morning,...

Michael Kramer
Why The Massive Plunge In Yields May Be Over By Michael Kramer - Aug 23, 2019 18

Global bond yields have moved sharply lower since the middle of July when the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (FED) both indicated accommodative monetary policy was on the way....

Ed Yardeni
Government Bonds In Neverland By Ed Yardeni - Aug 22, 2019 1

The negative interest rate policies of the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) have created a Neverland in the global fixed-income markets. An 8/18 Bloomberg story...

John Mousseau
The Bond Conundrum And How To Manage By John Mousseau - Aug 21, 2019

The past couple of weeks have been breathtaking for bond investors and observers of the bond market. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond is now at a record low—it dipped under 2% this...

Candy Matheson
MSCI World Indices Weakening By Candy Matheson - Aug 20, 2019 2

The following daily chart of the MSCI World (ex-USA) Index shows that price has dropped, once again, to just above the 1800 level (as of last Friday's close).The MACD histogram and RSI indicators are...

Candy Matheson
High Yield Corporate Bonds: Breakout Or Breakdown? By Candy Matheson - Aug 19, 2019

The High Yield Corporate Bonds ETF (NYSE:HYG) is at an interesting juncture.There are, potentially, two uptrend lines that one could apply to form a large long-term triangle pattern on the following...

James Picerno
Wobbly Economic Outlook Favored Bonds Last Week By James Picerno - Aug 19, 2019

Rising worries about the global economy triggered a strong wave of fixed-income buying last week, propelling US bonds to the top of the performance ledger for the major asset classes, based on a set...

London Capital Group
Stimulus Hopes Lift Sentiment And Stocks By London Capital Group - Aug 19, 2019

Quickly recapping, equities experienced their worst week so far this year, and bonds soared as investors sought safety amid an escalation of the US – Sino trade war. The US and UK yield curves...

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