Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Amid signs that 2019’s slowdown in the U.S. economy may be stabilizing, the U.S. Treasury market appears to be flirting with firmer inflation expectations. It’s too early to know if the...

As if the equity bulls needed any more help, bonds, by way of TLT, is making its way toward what would be a fairly important support failure. As interest rates creep higher, IYR is...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators pared their bearish net positions in the 10 Year Note Futures markets this week, according to the latest...

With global growth returning and the U.S. economy surging to a 3% growth rate in 2020, interest rates in the U.S. will begin to rise. It will result in the long-end of the yield curve increasing,...

The virus of negative yields is quickly spreading. In September 2019, the amount of global debt with negative yields amounted to about $16 trillion, or more than 25 percent of the market. This number...

Occasionally, problems reveal themselves gradually. A water stain on the ceiling is potentially evidence of a much larger problem. Painting over the stain will temporarily relieve the unsightly...

Bund Futures first support at 171.95/90 but below here retests the December low at 171.65/61. A break lower targets support at 171.48/45. A break below 171.40 risks a slide till 171.10/05. Minor...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators added to their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest...

Technical Analysis is the theory that price relates all news, fundamental and correlative future expectations into current and recent price activity. It is the theory that price is the ultimate...

Thanksgiving Didn't Disappoint BullsAs a bear, I was hoping this year would be different but of course, it wasn't. The odds of a Thanksgiving rally in the equity markets are high; light volume tends...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators reduced their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets last week, according to the latest...

Caldan Partners: The surge in US corporate debt issuance has cast gloom over capitol hill as regulators are concerned that a prolonged period of low interest rates is masking underlying default risk....

I am in awe at how little extra yield investors are willing to take for junk bonds vs AAA-rated Bonds. BBB-rated bonds are just a step away from junk. If you count BBB- then its two...

The 10 year U.S. notes are currently recovering in five waves, up from the 127.31 area, which gives us an idea that the trend is turning bullish. We also see a break above the upper trend line...