Bonds Analysis & Opinion

10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large speculators and traders continued to bet against the 10-year treasury note in the futures markets last week, according to the latest Commitment of...

Zerohedge has an interesting post out today called Treasury Specs Are So Short, It Is Now A 4 Sigma Event. Let’s take a look at his charts and a couple of mine.According to the latest breakdown...

My work has triggered preliminary signals that TBT's September-December upleg correction ended at Thursday's January 12 low of 38.19 and that a new upleg has commenced.Notice that the 24-hour upmove...

US Treasuries are facing a triple threat from market technicals. Rising off of the July 2015 low, TLT completed a 3-Drives pattern in July 2016. The following reversal retraced 88.6% of the pattern...

The US 10-year yield fell briefly below 1.32% last July. The yield slowly rose to reach 1.80% in mid October. The day after the election, the yield initially slipped to almost 1.71%. This was a bit...

If you've been long bonds since July of 2015, it/s been a long and hard 6 months, as bond prices have fallen hard and yields have shot up. Could rates be peaking and bond prices at their lows? For...

10-Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large speculators and traders increased their bearish net positions in the 10-year treasury note futures markets last week, according to the latest...

I was planning to write an article today about the shape of the yield curve. Since the Global Financial Crisis, the Treasury curve has been very steep – in early 2010 the 2y/10y spread reached...

10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large speculators and traders sharply boosted their bearish net positions in the 10-year treasury note futures markets in the final week of 2016,...

I began trading in 1987. At the time, I noticed that the bond market was falling. I was confused because the stock market was rallying while the bond market was creating a great, low risk alternative...

Those that view the message of the market on a daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries...

Bonds are severely oversold, (below, weekly chart of the 30-year Treasury). There should be a bounce, but if it’s weak or doesn’t last very long then prepare for a crash.I’ve never...

Historical Correlations Give Us A Clue To What May Be AheadA Falling Global Market Cap Trend Channel The old adage that the "Trend is Your Friend" has proven to be the one that separates the winners...

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large speculators and traders increased their net positions in the 10-year treasury note futures markets last week for the first time in four weeks...