Bonds Analysis & Opinion

The Federal Reserve has been trying to raise inflation for eight years with, so far, muted results. But some analysts think we’re at an inflection point and pricing pressures will continue to...

The Federal Reserve isn’t expected to raise interest rates at next week’s policy meeting, but the Nov. 1-2 gathering will be closely watched for signs that the central bank is preparing to...

With the state of post-Op/Twist systemic dysfunction, there are no absolutes, but…Generally, a rising yield curve signals changes in financial markets. But it is not as simple as saying...

“All this QE and money printing is soon going to crash bonds” “The 30 year bond bull market has reached its end and is about to implode”, “US Governments are the...

I have no idea why the U.S. 10-Year yield popped from 1.72% to 1.77% this morning, but I do know that recent weakness from the 1.81% high on October 17 pressed right into, but held, key support at...

It’s been really busy as of late to cover all of the topics I have wanted to address. One topic, in particular, is the bond market and the ongoing concerns of a “bond bubble” due to...

Note: We've update this commentary with data through Friday's market close.Let's take a closer look at US Treasuries since our last update. Most of October's average yields thus far have returned to...

If there’s one clear downtrend out there, it’s interest rates -- despite the blather about “normalization”, which is not going to happen.Here’s the TNX, with the...

Let's have a look at a long-term perspective on Treasury yields. The chart below shows the 10-Year Constant Maturity yield since 1962 along with the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) and inflation. The range...

TNX: Short term Elliott wave count suggests that pullback to 1.542 at 9/28 ended wave X. The rally from there looks to be unfolding as a 5 wave move and wave ((a)) is proposed complete at 1.801.Wave...

The prospect for a rate hike is resonating in the Treasury market. Is this another head fake? Or is the Federal Reserve truly ready to embrace another round of policy tightening?No one knows for sure...

The past twelve months have been an interesting time for US Treasury Bond investors. During that time there, has been an overhanging view that the Federal Reserve will raise rates as a next policy...

Interest rates over the past 10 years have bounced and created a series of lower highs. Is that trend of lower highs about to end?Below looks at the yield on the 10 year note over the past...

The US dollar gained against all of its G10 counterparts and the majority of emerging market currencies, as Chicago Fed Evans said that a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike in December ‘would not...