Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Several potentially negative influences may weigh on bonds in the near-term. And then again they may not. Hence the reason the title of this piece is “Speculating in Bonds” and NOT...

Tonight, the President gives his State of the Union (SOTU) address, his first as President of the United States, and the pre-speech pundit commentary is out in full strength.To keep this...

This future has been dicey at best offering small extensions on both end of todays current range. After finding an earlier high spot on the pivotal price it returned for a retest of its early low of...

Note: We've updated this commentary with data through today's market close.Let's take a closer look at US Treasuries since last week. The yield on the 10-year note ended today at 2.36% and the 30-year...

10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large speculators cut back on their bearish net positions in the 10-year treasury note futures markets last week, according to the latest Commitment of...

For most markets, it was an uneventful end to the week: the Dow Jones Industrial Average traded marginally lower most of Friday only to reverse up in the final half hour to notch its 11th consecutive...

Nineteenth-century writer Frédéric Bastiat, in his classic “Broken Window” parable warned that economic thinking requires us to see what isn’t happening as well as what...

If you’re investing for retirement, chances are that you’ve bought some bonds. But did you buy yours individually or as part of a bond index?The difference may seem insubstantial. And for...

10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions:Large speculators and traders reduced their net bearish positions in the 10-year treasury note futures markets last week for the third time out of the...

ZN has been Working on a Bottom Since December 1 – Here’s Where We Find Out Whether It’s an Inverse H&S or Megaphone Bottom. The 10-year Treasury bill has been working on a...

Note: We've updated this commentary with data through yesterday's market close.Let's take a closer look at US Treasuries since last week. The yield on the 10-year note ended yesterday at 2.42% and the...

10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions:Large speculators resumed adding to bearish net positions in the 10-Year treasury note futures markets last week, according to the latest Commitment of...

The rise of interest rates in Europe has seen premiums over Germany increase. This is not unusual. Often the intra-European spreads are sensitive to the underlying direction of rates. The premiums...

My intermediate and longer term technical set-up work on U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield argues that benchmark yield is in transition from a 35-year bear Market (dominant downtrend) into a multi-year bull...