Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Junk bonds are said to have an influence on stock prices as a leading indicator.If that's true, it may be worth paying attention to what Junk does this month. Junk Bond ETF JNK has been pushing...

CFTC Weekly Commitment of Traders Report 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large speculators and traders reduced their net positions in the 10-year treasury note futures markets last...

The Federal Reserve meets during the first week of November to decide whether or not to increase interest rates. The probability of a rate hike in November stands at only 8.8% while increasing to...

Selloff in global bonds extended yesterday and sent US yields sharply higher. 10 year yield rose 0.053 to close at 1.843 after hitting at high at 1.870. The strong breakout from a near term range...

In reference to an earlier post I put up Thursday morning about the concerns bond traders have about Central Banks reaching the limits of their ability to use monetary policy to stimulate their...

Thursday's yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury Note broke out to new highs. The yield was trading higher by 7.1 basis points to 1.861%, which means that bond prices are falling sharply as yields rise....

The Federal Reserve isn’t expected to raise interest rates at next week’s policy meeting, but the Nov. 1-2 gathering will be closely watched for signs that the central bank is preparing to...

With the state of post-Op/Twist systemic dysfunction, there are no absolutes, but…Generally, a rising yield curve signals changes in financial markets. But it is not as simple as saying...

I have no idea why the U.S. 10-Year yield popped from 1.72% to 1.77% this morning, but I do know that recent weakness from the 1.81% high on October 17 pressed right into, but held, key support at...

It’s been really busy as of late to cover all of the topics I have wanted to address. One topic, in particular, is the bond market and the ongoing concerns of a “bond bubble” due to...

CFTC Weekly Commitment of Traders Report 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large speculators and traders raised their net positions in the 10-year treasury note futures markets last week...

Note: We've update this commentary with data through Friday's market close.Let's take a closer look at US Treasuries since our last update. Most of October's average yields thus far have returned to...

If there’s one clear downtrend out there, it’s interest rates -- despite the blather about “normalization”, which is not going to happen.Here’s the TNX, with the...

Short term Elliott wave count suggests that pullback to 1.542 at 9/28 ended wave X. The rally from there looks to be unfolding as a 5 wave move and wave ((a)) is proposed complete at 1.801 . Wave...