Bonds Analysis & Opinion

TNX: Short term Elliott wave count suggests that pullback to 1.542 at 9/28 ended wave X. The rally from there looks to be unfolding as a 5 wave move and wave ((a)) is proposed complete at 1.801.Wave...

The prospect for a rate hike is resonating in the Treasury market. Is this another head fake? Or is the Federal Reserve truly ready to embrace another round of policy tightening?No one knows for sure...

The past twelve months have been an interesting time for US Treasury Bond investors. During that time there, has been an overhanging view that the Federal Reserve will raise rates as a next policy...

Interest rates over the past 10 years have bounced and created a series of lower highs. Is that trend of lower highs about to end?Below looks at the yield on the 10 year note over the past...

The US dollar gained against all of its G10 counterparts and the majority of emerging market currencies, as Chicago Fed Evans said that a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike in December ‘would not...

10-Year Yield: Short term Elliott wave count suggests that pullback to 1.542 at 9/28 ended wave X. The rally from there is unfolding as a zig zag where wave (a) ended at 1.77. The yields is now...

It appears there’s no shortage of investor love for municipal bond funds. September 28 was the 52nd straight week of inflows into state and local government debt, marking the second longest...

Heading into Friday's jobs report amid a barrage of increasingly hawkish comments from Fed heads about a forthcoming rate hike before year end, let's notice that the U.S. 10-year yield is pushing up...

I’ve taken plenty of bond math classes. The best of them was in the summer of 2001 at Lehman Brothers. Lehman Brothers wasn’t going to teach a bad bond math class, not at the firm that...

Bond prices generally move with stock prices over the long term. Or at least that is what any of us have seen over the last 30 years. But it could be just a coincidence that a 30 year bull market in...

The 10-Year Treasury Note’s term premium (an estimate of the extra compensation that the market demands for holding longer rather than shorter maturities) has been moderately negative for most...

To understand the financial markets, you need to understand the hierarchy of asset classes. That hierarchy is as follows:Globally, the stock market is about $69 trillion in size, trading about $191...

You can find any answer you want by comparing the current curve to various points in its history. Over the past 30 trading days, for instance, the curve is more or less unchanged. But comparisons over...

Though I highly doubt he will admit it, he’s just not the type, even Ben Bernanke knows on some level that bond market is decidedly against him, or at least his legacy. Economists have a funny...