Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Muni yields rose in the first six weeks of this quarter – mostly in sympathy with US Treasuries (NYSE:UST). We saw the 10-year and 30-year Treasury bonds rise 20 and 25 basis points...

As we collectively try to fight the boredom of the end of the trading year, I offer a simple and straightforward idea: shorting HYG with a stop at 81.25, just above its price gap.

Remember back when you took the SAT’s? Some of your friends did really well, scoring near 800 on each section, and moved on to other things. But others had that one section that was in the...

Friday Market CloseThe market has seen this horror movie before, and it’s being panned by bulls and cheered by bears. The title could be “Deja Vu All Over Again: The...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators decreased their bearish net positions in the US 10 Year T-Note Futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of...

Treasury Bonds have been like a cat with 9 lives. Maybe even more than 9 lives. Every time you think the end of a 30 plus year uptrend in prices is about to end, they befuddle and reverse. Will that...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators sharply added to their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment...

SummaryMarkets formally on inversion watch The long-end of the curve has started to come in as traders see slower growth, lower inflationary pressure The short-end of the curve is rising; we've seen...

A lot about the stock market’s future will depend upon whether the U.S. bond yields will climb above their-temporarily lost- daily support. Original post

A lot about the stock market’s future will depend upon whether US the 10-Year will climb above their-temporarily lost- daily support.

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators increased their bearish net positions in the US 10 Year T-Note Futures markets last week, according to the latest Commitment of...

SummaryThe most recent Beige Book has more bearish commentary than we've seen over the last few years. According to the WSJ, the Fed is thinking about pausing its rate hiking program after a December...

One of the most reliable indicators of an economic slowdown just flashed a warning sign this week. On Monday, the yield curve between the five-year Treasury yield and three-year Treasury yield...

The yield curve inverts when the Fed keeps hiking in the face of a slowdown. Bianco research noted today "There has not been one instance where the 2-year 5-year spread inverts and the 3-month 10-year...