Bonds Analysis & Opinion

In the midst of a flattening yield curve, the 10-year T-yield is once again hammering on resistance at just north of three percent. Just a month ago, these notes yielded 2.81 percent. At least a pause...

The above chart was provided by Gary Morrow, a solid technician who writes with a few other guys at “This Week on Wall Street” (http://thisweekonwallstreet.com/). The significance of the...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators slightly increased their bearish net positions in the US 10 Year T-Note Futures markets this week, according to the latest...

My bond obsession continues – and with good reason as we’ve just had our latest breach. And remember, next week is a big FOMC announcement, so that should shake things up. The important...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculator’s bearish net positions were virturally unchanged in the US 10 Year T-Note Futures markets this week, according to the...

Yesterday’s piece generated a lot of interest, so we’re going to develop this theme some more.The key item of note is that while US stocks are holding up, the Fed’s hawkishness has...

Continued contraction in corporate issuance of high-yield bonds is likely creating a supply-demand imbalance, helping the likes of iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond (NYSE:HYG).Eight months in,...

The yield curve has been on everyone's mind these days. Mostly, will the curve invert, how much and will it project to a recession. History tells us when the curve inverts a recession is likely. The...

SummaryThe yield curve has hit a steady-state equilibrium. The short-end of the curve is doing the heavy lifting when it comes to yield curve compression. Chicago Fed President Evans argues that the...

Last week, when scoping out the latest movements in the US yield curve, a noticeable pattern arose. It came to our attention, via a report by Morgan Stanley -0.25% , that it was the first time this...

It’s good to wake up to a lot of red on the screen. First of all, the bond breakdown I’ve been touting has made superb progress. One level broken, and one to go!

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators sharply reduced their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment...

The US yield curve isn’t the only one on the precipice. There are any number of them that are getting attention for all the wrong reasons. At least those rationalizations provided by mainstream...

Bund holding below 162.55/50 saw us test the short term 50% Fibonacci at 162.37. I do not think this is particularly significant & further losses target 162.24/20 & strong support at...