Bonds Analysis & Opinion

The Fed has now created the single most dangerous stock market environment possible…That’s when the economy is slowing… and stocks are RALLYING based on hopes that the Fed will...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators raised their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders...

Since the U.S. yield curve first inverted in December (I wrote about it the day it happened – read here) – I’ve seen mainstream financial media pundits shrug it off. They’ve...

On The RadarNow that the shorts have been squeezed out of the 10-year note, it might top out. Treasury futures bearish specs have finally been squeezed out. Throughout much of 2018, we made an effort...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators slightly added to their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment...

Things that'll be "different this time" usually aren't, especially when it comes to hot stoves, hot steering wheels, and hot bond markets. Touch 'em and you'll get burned, or so goes the...

The Federal Reserve signalled at their March meeting that they are on hold for now. Being long treasuries seems obvious, right? Well, sometimes the most obvious trades are the ones to take. I will...

The US Yield Curve inverted as 3-Month Treasuries trade at a higher yield than 10-Year Treasuries. This narrative began spreading throughout financial media last week. It may not sound relevant to the...

Investors remained on edge Monday but the whiff of panic that spurred Friday’s equity plunge was gone. Stocks closed mixed even as the inversion on the yield curve between 3-month and 10-year...

U.S. 2-, 5-, 10- and 30-year Bonds have been driving through prior resistance and inching upwards since the end of 2018, as shown on the following monthly charts. Meanwhile, the following monthly...

On Friday, stock markets experienced one of the biggest declines since the beginning of the year, losing almost 2% on the S&P 500. Investors were frightened by the debt markets signals. The yield...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators continued to decrease their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest...

These things are actually quite related, though I understand how it might not appear to be that way at first. As noted earlier today, the Fed (yet again) proves it has no idea how global money markets...

The Federal Reserve wasn’t quite as hawkish as investors expected. The result: Treasury bond yields (interest rates) fell sharply. In today’s chart of the 10-Year US Treasury Yield we...