Bonds Analysis & Opinion

While stocks continue to push higher, the bond market is quietly preparing for disaster.The yield on the 10-Year US Treasury has collapsed to within spitting distance of the December lows. For those...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators decreased their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of...

History from 1953 indicates that when the T-Bill/10 year Treasury Rate Spread falls to 0.20% or lower a recession occurs, but not this time. The daily T-Bill/10 year Treasury Rate Spread data from Jan...

10-Year Treasury yields rose for the first time in more than a week today, up two basis points to 2.65 percent. The boost came as investors sold off Treasurys after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in an...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators very slightly edged their bearish net positions lower in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators added to their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets in February, according to the latest Commitment of...

Recently, Wall Street and the Financial Media have brought much attention to the flattening and possible inversion of the U.S. Treasury yield curve. Given the fact that an inversion of the 2s/10s...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators continued to reduce their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets in January, according to the latest...

In our assessment of popular bond funds, we looked at a group of bond funds that often make shortlists for advisors –DoubleLine Total Return Bond I, DoubleLine Core Fixed Income I, PIMCO Total...

Last year, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield peaked at 3.24% on November 8 . Last year, when the yield first rose above 3.00% on May 14, there was lots of chatter about how it was likely to rise to...

What does the technical picture tell us about the 10-Year US Treasury yield? The pale green area in the chart below is a rising trend channel. Rates rose within that channel since the mid-2016 secular...

News headlines trumpet that the post-Christmas equity rally is stalling. It is. But how much of it is self-perpetuated?Similarly, how would retail investors react when all the financial media warn...

Supported by the Federal Reserve’s recent pause on raising interest rates, corporate bonds are leading the US fixed-income sector higher in 2019. Junk bonds and long-term corporates are...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators sharply cut back on their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets in late December, according to the latest...