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The National Bank of Canada The National Bank of Canada

The National Bank of Canada's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by The National Bank of Canada, including current material.
Canada: Inflation Increase In April By The National Bank of Canada - May 20, 2012

Facts: Headline CPI inflation increased to 2.0% in April from 1.9% in March. Core CPI inflation was also up to 2.1% from 1.9% a month before. On a monthly basis, headline CPI was up 0.4% for a fourth...

Canadian Manufacturing Sales Jumped 1.9% In March By The National Bank of Canada - May 17, 2012

Facts: Canada’s manufacturing sales jumped 1.9% in March, after two declines in the first two months of the year. More than a third of the increase came from a 4.5% surge in sales of petroleum...

Canadian Employment Surges Again In April By The National Bank of Canada - May 13, 2012

Facts: Total employment surged in April (+58.2K) following an astonishing gain of 82.3K jobs in March. Strong gains were observed in full-time jobs (+43.9K) while part-time jobs posted also an...

U.S. Equities: Will Outperformance Last? By The National Bank of Canada - May 13, 2012

Over the past few months the performance between the S&P 500 index and the S&P/TSX composite index has diverged significantly. In March 2012 the relative performance between the two indices...

Canadian Merchandise Trade Surplus Up In March By The National Bank of Canada - May 13, 2012

Facts: Canada’s merchandise trade surplus rose marginally to CAD 0.35bn in March (top chart), a touch below consensus expectations. Exports fell 0.4%, the third drop in a row, with gains in...

Toronto Condo Market: Ripe For A Correction? By The National Bank of Canada - May 10, 2012

In the last two months, condo starts in Toronto established a new record for a month of Marchand a month of April respectively, intensifying fears that a market correction is in the offing. As...

Canada: 244.9K Housing Starts In April‏ By The National Bank of Canada - May 09, 2012

Facts: In Canada, an annual rate of 244.9K housingunits were started in April, up 30.1K or 14% from the rate of 214.8K units in March, and once again topping expectations. Urban starts increased 34.5K...

Economic Indicators Review By The National Bank of Canada - May 08, 2012

Canada – In February, real GDP shrank for the first time in three months. Activity fell sharply in the goods producing sector (-1.0%) after rising 0.1% the previous month. With the exception of...

CAD, EUR, USD Outlook, May 2012 By The National Bank of Canada - May 07, 2012

From dove to hawk…One of the results of the less-austere-than-expectedfederal budget was more flexibility for monetarypolicy. Something had to be done to address what itviews as “the...

U.S. Labour Market Hits Soft Patch In April By The National Bank of Canada - May 06, 2012

April was not a good month for U.S. labor markets. Payroll jobs expanded only 115,00, the weakest showing in six months. Even considering the upward revisions to the prior months, the jobs data were...

Canada's Stable Investor Base By The National Bank of Canada - May 04, 2012

According to recent research done at the IMF, a stable investor base is particularly important when it comes to containing the volatility inherent to the bond market. Institutional investors -- such...

The May 6th Greek Election…Yet Another Challenge For The EU By The National Bank of Canada - May 03, 2012

Bottom Line: The Greek election on May 6th will present the European Union (EU), which is already struggling under tough economic conditions and growing political tensions, with yet another challenge....

Canada: Rate Hikes This Year? Not So Fast By The National Bank of Canada - May 02, 2012

Canada’s disappointing February GDP report threw a wrench in the Bank of Canada’s forecast for the first quarter. February’s results were so bad that, barring a miracle in March, Q1...

U.S. Retail Investors Remain Very Cautious By The National Bank of Canada - May 01, 2012

Just-released data by the Investment Company Institute (ICI) showed that bonds remain in favour in the eyes of retail investors. Such funds attracted $31.8 billion in March, bringing the cumulative...

U.S. Market Q1: Majority Of Sectors Show Margin Contraction By The National Bank of Canada - May 01, 2012

The Q1 2012 earnings season has so far been relatively positive with 72% of S&P 500 constituents recording better than expected earnings results. The blended earnings growth stands at 7.1% with...

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