Bonds Analysis & Opinion

We discuss the Bond Market in this video, focusing on our calculations of comparative real yields from Germany, the United Kingdom, France and Switzerland for the 10-Year Bond offering. The last thing...

Bund holding the below first resistance at 161.00/160.95 targets minor support at 160.80/76 (we closed just below here) then 160.60/55 (also yesterday's low). A break lower today targets 160.44/41...

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise interest rates again in June, a policy decision that looks set to further squeeze the Treasury yield curve. The spread between the 10-Year and 3-Month...

In this article on 2/27, I wrote about a potential bear put spread in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (NASDAQ:TLT) (Figure 1), betting on a decline in bonds prices. Then in this article on 3/9, I...

In the video below, we look at a series of charts on US bond yields from the Weekly Macro Themes report. The main chart of interest shows our composite sentiment indicator for the bond market, which...

Further to my post of April 11, 30-Year Bonds have gained a couple of points, as shown on the monthly chart below.Price now sits just above major resistance (50% Fibonacci retracement) and is poised...

Ever since the U.S. economy started pulling itself out of the earnings recession last year, high yield bonds have been the fixed income asset class of choice.Since credit spreads peaked in February of...

From Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D.: When a sovereign nation can’t readily finance or pay its debts, it’s traumatic.Bond prices collapse. Interest rates surge to 10%, 20%, even 30%. Federal jobs...

10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large speculators and traders further increased their bullish net positions in the 10-year treasury note futures markets last week, according to the...

We’ve had seven client/consultant/prospect speeches and meetings in the last week. The hottest topic has been the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet and what changes in it will mean for...

I read an article recently that noted the 65-75bp rise in Treasury yields over the last year or so, and sought to explain, through a labyrinthine line of reasoning/model, that most of the rise was due...

Sometimes things in the financial markets are pretty obvious if one is willing to see them. Despite all of the angst that has been exhausted since July of 2016 – when the S&P 500 Index broke...

Note: We've updated this commentary with data through today's market close.Let's take a closer look at recent activity in US Treasuries. The yield on the 10-year note ended the day at 2.39% and the...

10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large speculators and traders decreased their bullish net positions in the 10-year treasury note futures markets last week, according to the latest...