Bonds Analysis & Opinion

As I observed over the last two weeks, most Fed presidents believe they have achieved their dual mandate – full employment and inflation near 2%. Today, I want to look at the counter-arguments...

10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large speculators pulled back sharply from their highest bullish position since 2007 this week in the 10-year treasury note futures markets, according...

The economy continues to do well, along with the stock market, prompting many to worry about inflationary pressures picking up speed. Below looks at the TIP—TLT ratio and the message it is...

Last week, I discussed the views of 4 Federal Reserve presidents to discern their current interest rate policy. This week’s column finishes that analysis. I would like to offer a personal thanks...

10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large speculators sharply increased their net positions in the 10-year treasury note futures markets last week for a third consecutive week, according...

We discuss the Bond Market in this video, focusing on our calculations of comparative real yields from Germany, the United Kingdom, France and Switzerland for the 10-Year Bond offering. The last thing...

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise interest rates again in June, a policy decision that looks set to further squeeze the Treasury yield curve. The spread between the 10-Year and 3-Month...

In this article on 2/27, I wrote about a potential bear put spread in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (NASDAQ:TLT) (Figure 1), betting on a decline in bonds prices. Then in this article on 3/9, I...

Further to my post of April 11, 30-Year Bonds have gained a couple of points, as shown on the monthly chart below.Price now sits just above major resistance (50% Fibonacci retracement) and is poised...

Bonds have been hit hard since the highs around the 4th of July last year. Is this big decline be creating a bottoming pattern? Bottoms Up for bonds?Below looks at TLT's pattern over the past couple...

Ever since the U.S. economy started pulling itself out of the earnings recession last year, high yield bonds have been the fixed income asset class of choice.Since credit spreads peaked in February of...

From Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D.: When a sovereign nation can’t readily finance or pay its debts, it’s traumatic.Bond prices collapse. Interest rates surge to 10%, 20%, even 30%. Federal jobs...

There is no doubt that the Federal Reserve is in the process of raising rates. The only question now is “when” and “how much.” The most recent “dot plot” from the...

10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large speculators and traders further increased their bullish net positions in the 10-year treasury note futures markets last week, according to the...