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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Tim Knight
Treasury Bonds: Another Important Gap By Tim Knight - May 25, 2018 1

Well, I’ll shut up about the oil gap and turn my attention to something even more important: bonds. Treasury bonds have been roaring higher all week and that’s not great for me because my...

Marc Chandler
Get Ready For Europe's Sovereign Bond-Backed Securities By Marc Chandler - May 24, 2018

After talking about it for several weeks, the European Commission on Thursday unveiled a proposal for a new asset-backed security. The backing would be sovereign bonds weighted by the size of the...

Frank Holmes
Treasury Yields Look Overextended By Frank Holmes - May 24, 2018

The 10-year Treasury yield has been the topic of conversation lately among fixed-income investors. Earlier this month, the T-note closed above 3 percent for the first time since July 2011, prompting...

Frank Holmes
Yields Look Overextended And Ready For Mean Reversion By Frank Holmes - May 24, 2018

The 10-year Treasury yield has been the topic of conversation lately among fixed-income investors. Earlier this month, the T-note closed above 3 percent for the first time since July 2011, prompting...

Chris Marcus
Bond Market Clobbered: Now What Happens Next?   By Chris Marcus - May 19, 2018

Simply put, the bond market got clobbered this week.After yields on the Benchmark 10-year treasury sat below the 3% level for almost a month, they finally broke through and by quite a margin. The...

Harry Dent
A Bad Sign For Stocks And Real Estate By Harry Dent - May 17, 2018 1

We’ve been waiting years for our fixed income trade of a decade…Our target’s at the top of the long-term Treasury Bond Channel near 3% on current 10-year yields. And recently, we...

James Picerno
10-Year Treasury Yield Rises To 7-Year High By James Picerno - May 16, 2018

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield edged up to 3.08% on Tuesday (May 15), marking a new seven-year high, based on daily data published by Treasury.gov. The implied inflation forecast via Treasuries...

Mike (Mish) Shedlock
3-Month Treasury Yield Surpasses S&P 500 Yield By Mike (Mish) Shedlock - May 15, 2018

For the first time in a decade, the yield on 3-month Treasuries exceeds that of S&P 500 dividends. The above chart is from the Financial Times article by John Authers, Authers’ Note: Hunting...

Mike (Mish) Shedlock
How Much Can The Fed Hike Before The Yield Curve Inverts? By Mike (Mish) Shedlock - May 14, 2018

The market expects a 100% chance of a hike in June and a 78.2% chance of at least one more hike by September. Then what? December Rate Hike Odds 10-Year Treasury Yield vs Fed Funds Rate 10-Year...

Matthew Weller
What’s The U.S. Bond Market Yelling Us? By Matthew Weller - May 09, 2018

To date, 2018 has been a particularly rough year for investors in US treasury bonds.After starting the year with a yield near below 2.5%, the benchmark 10-year bond has seen yields surge to a high of...

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