Bonds Analysis & Opinion

This post was written exclusively for Investing.com.Call it a dead cat bounce if you want, but interest rates on the 10-year U.S. Treasury are likely heading higher—perhaps to as high as...

The Treasury market continues to downgrade US inflation expectations, which suggests that the case is strengthening for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The widely followed spread for nominal and...

This chart looks at the yield on the 10-year note on a weekly basis. Interest rates look to have peaked last October. Since hitting those highs, yields have declined 35%. This large decline has them...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators increased their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of...

The US recession warnings are flying every which way lately in the wake of an inverted yield curve. The spread on the 10-Year less 3-Month yields, in particular, has unleashed a wave of predictions...

While many were attempting to call the top of the bond market for many years, we issued our first and only topping call in the bond market back on June 27th, 2016. At that time, I wrote an article...

While the mainstream financial media finally realizes that everything’s “not so great” in the global economy – there’s even more to worry about.I’m talking about...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators reduced their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of...

The revival of a risk-off bias in global markets this month has been a boon to long-term bonds. Although every corner of the US fixed-income market has been rallying this year, the latest surge in...

While the mainstream financial media focuses on the U.S.-China trade-war – macro-speculators are eyeing global yield curves – which are now signaling trouble. But according to this...

Treasury yields are falling. They've dropped below 2.3 overnight, to the lowest since 2017, as investor demand for safety surges.The current yield is the lowest since mid-October 2017, suggesting...

Bond yields have started to break down, and if today's chart is anything to go by, it's entirely possible we'll see a further push lower in yields.The May round of flash PMIs brought mostly...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators continued on their path of higher bearish positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest...

Trade wars. Tariffs. Trump. One might think that the “Ts” are solely responsible for financial market volatility.In truth, a wider variety of cross-currents are at work. Some have been...