Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Many traders are aware of the connection between the stock market and the 4-year presidential election cycle. Not many are aware of the connection between long-term treasury bonds and the same...

Bund is trading in an uptrend, away from 2018 lows, and can see even more upside in the next couple of weeks or months, as we see the price at the start of a temporary wave IV correction. A wave IV is...

A large divergence between two fundamentally-correlated market prices is important because such a divergence usually will be closed via a big move in one or both prices. However, divergences sometimes...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculator’s bearish net positions barely moved this week in the 10-Year Note futures markets, according to the latest Commitment of...

Credit grew at an exceptionally fast pace in June mainly due to financing for infrastructure projects. The implication is that if there were no fiscal stimulus, the economy would be deteriorating. The...

This post was written exclusively for Investing.comIn recent weeks, investors have latched onto the yield curve, frenetically trying to decipher the cryptic message it may be sending, worried it may...

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified in Congress yesterday that a rate cut may be near. That’s music to the ears of the bond market because it offers more fuel for extending the...

Will the Fed lower interest rates? It's possible if they follow the yield on the 10-year note over the past 32 weeks. This chart shows that the yield on the TNX has declined 31% in the past 32 weeks....

Expectations of further monetary stimulus depress yields. There are now 14 junk bonds in Europe with a negative yield. The number of negative-yield euro-denominated junk bonds reached fourteen, up...

In October 2011, the bank’s Chairman bristled at the characterization. His was not going to be a “bad bank” as many in the financial media had been saying. Pierre Mariani, chief...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators increased their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets last week, according to the latest Commitment of...

The ECB and EU elected to ignore Italy's debt and soon to be a monstrous deficit. Bond yields plunged. At the beginning of June, the ECB and EU walked down from targeting Italy with excessive debt...

Market movers today We are looking at a quiet day on the release front with the US markets closed for the 4 July celebrations. In the Eurozone, we get retail sales which are expected to edge up...

Yields on the 10-year Treasury fell back beneath the key 2% level today as investors sought shelter on growing concerns over a pending recession. Why, then, did the S&P 500 Index just hit...