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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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James Picerno
Treasury Market’s Inflation Outlook Tumbles By James Picerno - Jun 13, 2019

The Treasury market continues to downgrade US inflation expectations, which suggests that the case is strengthening for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The widely followed spread for nominal and...

Chris Kimble
Bonds Peaking, Interest Rates Bottoming? By Chris Kimble - Jun 11, 2019

This chart looks at the yield on the 10-year note on a weekly basis. Interest rates look to have peaked last October. Since hitting those highs, yields have declined 35%. This large decline has them...

Chris Ciovacco
Stocks And Bonds After An Extremely Rare Move   By Chris Ciovacco - Jun 04, 2019

LEARNING FROM HISTORICAL MARKET FACTS When investors are concerned about future economic outcomes, they often migrate toward more defensive-oriented long-term U.S. Treasury bonds (NASDAQ:TLT). The...

Gregory W. Harmon
Treasuries Appear To Be Overbought By Gregory W. Harmon - May 30, 2019

The stock market has everybody’s attention. After a run higher from a December low to a high at the end of April it has been pulling back. Is this the big one? Will trade wars lead to recession...

James Picerno
Long-Term Bonds Surge As Investors Pile Into Safe Havens By James Picerno - May 30, 2019

The revival of a risk-off bias in global markets this month has been a boon to long-term bonds. Although every corner of the US fixed-income market has been rallying this year, the latest surge in...

Adem Tumerkan
Global Yield Curves Signal Trouble By Adem Tumerkan - May 30, 2019

While the mainstream financial media focuses on the U.S.-China trade-war – macro-speculators are eyeing global yield curves – which are now signaling trouble. But according to this...

Callum Thomas
Bond Yields: Lower For Longer? By Callum Thomas - May 28, 2019

Bond yields have started to break down, and if today's chart is anything to go by, it's entirely possible we'll see a further push lower in yields.The May round of flash PMIs brought mostly...

Zachary Storella
10-Year Note Speculators Boosted Bearish Bets By Zachary Storella - May 26, 2019

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators continued on their path of higher bearish positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest...

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