Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Kindly take a look at this graph from the good folks at Elliott Wave: I try to keep my mouth shut about the reasons people do what they do in trading. Astrology, Gann analysis, point & figure...

Summary:The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged on Wednesday but signalled an openness to lowering interest rates in the future. However, our analysis of the market cycles for Treasury Note Yields...

What does the fact that the U.S. Federal Reserve said it would stand pat – for now – on American T-Bill interest rates mean for the bond market going forward? The chart above looks at the...

The amount of discussion I am seeing on television, as well as in print, regarding what the Fed is going to do just amazes me. Are people this oblivious to the realities around them?I really have a...

Technically Speaking For June 17SummaryGlobal bond yields are tumbling lower. The latest Beige Book had a number of hedging comments regarding current economic developments. The markets continue to...

Earlier this week – I went on a four-tweet rant highlighting the toxic debt vehicle known as the ‘collateralized loan obligation’ (aka CLO). . .The CLO’s a vehicle that pools...

This post was written exclusively for Investing.com.Call it a dead cat bounce if you want, but interest rates on the 10-year U.S. Treasury are likely heading higher—perhaps to as high as...

The Treasury market continues to downgrade US inflation expectations, which suggests that the case is strengthening for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The widely followed spread for nominal and...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators increased their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of...

The US recession warnings are flying every which way lately in the wake of an inverted yield curve. The spread on the 10-Year less 3-Month yields, in particular, has unleashed a wave of predictions...

While many were attempting to call the top of the bond market for many years, we issued our first and only topping call in the bond market back on June 27th, 2016. At that time, I wrote an article...

LEARNING FROM HISTORICAL MARKET FACTS When investors are concerned about future economic outcomes, they often migrate toward more defensive-oriented long-term U.S. Treasury bonds (NASDAQ:TLT). The...

While the mainstream financial media finally realizes that everything’s “not so great” in the global economy – there’s even more to worry about.I’m talking about...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators reduced their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of...