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Investors have had to quickly get used to the recent spurt of market volatility and, with few assets offering safe haven from the rout, investors are eyeing the vulnerable bond sector for...
Looking for a reason Chicago bonds are rated junk? This guest post by Michael Johnston at Fixed Income Database explains why Chicago is junk in seven easy to understand charts.Chart #1: Massive Debt...
When I pointed out the trend-line break that interest rates made last week, there was a hail of chortles and catcalls about how useless it was since it was so “obvious”. There's nothing...
A quantitative run through of the Swedish Fixed Income market, starting with the Riksbank and money markets before moving on to government and mortgage bonds. To Read the Entire Report Please Click on...
This week, I am participating in a school-style debate at the Global Fixed Income Institute’s conferences in Madrid where the question before the house is whether or not inflation will resurface...
Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators decreased bearish bets 10-Year Treasuries Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note...
Yields on Greek and low-rated euro zone bonds rose on Friday after Greece’s economy minister rejected its creditors’ proposals for a reforms-for-cash deal that the country needs to avoid...
Prior to recession, the yield curve becomes inverted, as indicated by the Forward Rate Ratio between the 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields (FRR2-10) being less than 1.00. The FRR2-10 has...
Despite the popular meme, interest rates are actually going up in this rising rate environment. They have been since January. If you would like to debate how long it will last or how far they will go...
It's easy to find talk these days about the Fed moving interest rates higher. Humbly, I don’t know what Janet will do next. Could it be more important what billions of free-thinking people do...
Since my last post discussing YIELD into last Friday's low at 2.09% -- when I also commented that, "if I was refinancing my mortgage, I would give the benefit of the doubt to waiting a while longer...
Once again we begin with the Eurozone which seems to be the epicenter of global market volatility. One report in particular sent shock waves through the fixed income markets.Yesterday I talked about...
As John Maynard Keynes famously stated “When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, Sir?”. I am very close to changing my mind on the direction of long-term interest rates....
Decline to 1.843 completed wave X. From this level, U.S. 10-Year rallied in wave ((w)) in the form of a triple correction (w)-(x)-(y)-(x)-(z) where wave (w) ended at 1.989, wave (x) ended at 1.907,...
A “black swan” event occurred at a gathering of outlaw bikers on Sunday, May 17 in Waco, Texas. According to news stories a fight broke out between several motorcycle gangs at the Twin...