Bonds Analysis & Opinion

The U.S. 10-Year Treasury bill Just Reached VWAP of its Bottoming Megaphone (Red) The 10-year just reached VWAP of its red bottoming megaphone. I expect it to form a bottoming megaphone across VWAP...

Since 17 April, the U.S. 30-Year Treasury bond rate has increased 35bps from 2.51% to 2.86%. Given the volatility in the bond rate, this represents a 1.95 sigma increase, having a 2.5% probability...

Malaysia has long played and as a matter of policy it continues to play a leading part in the development of Shariah finance. Though at one time this was a way of seeing to it that the devout Moslem...

The U.S. 10-Year T-Note is putting in a falling megaphone bottom (pink) as ES completes a rising megaphone top on Friday’s move up.The theoretical target for the 10-year is the red horizontal...

This past week saw a huge swing in interest rates at the long end of the curve with the long bond in particular getting knocked for a loop.As you can see from the chart, prices plunged lower...

In recent days, there have been lots of mixed and confusing signals coming out of the Eurozone and US economies, and investors have acted accordingly. On Friday, May Day was a happy day for stock...

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators decreased bearish bets10-Year Treasuries Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note...

Over the past several months, the German bund has rallied and the euro has fallen. This Great Graphic from Bloomberg illustrates the co-movement. The 10-year bund yield is the white line. It fell...

The U.S. 10-year Needs a Retrace to At Least Its Red Megaphone VWAP The 10-year needs to retrace to at least its red megaphone VWAP. It should hit the target at the bottom of a potential major rising...

Euro-area government bonds are falling out of favour.Top money managers are turning against securities after yields dropped to unprecedented lows across the region. Emerging signs of inflation are...

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (ARCA:TLT) had a great 2014 and early part of 2015. TLT hit the top of this steep rising channel a few months ago and stopped on a dime. Now TLT is attempting a...

The 2-year vs. 10-year spread often steepens when there is uncertainty. The Italian 2 year vs. 10 year are an indication of "spill over" from Greece.... Not alarming yet, but the market is starting to...

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators add to bearish bets US 10 Year Year Treasuries: Large 10-year treasury note futures traders and...

The March report of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reaffirms what’s been obvious for some time: US economic activity in this year’s first quarter has been soft. It’s...