Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Looking for a reason Chicago bonds are rated junk? This guest post by Michael Johnston at Fixed Income Database explains why Chicago is junk in seven easy to understand charts.Chart #1: Massive Debt...

When I pointed out the trend-line break that interest rates made last week, there was a hail of chortles and catcalls about how useless it was since it was so “obvious”. There's nothing...

A quantitative run through of the Swedish Fixed Income market, starting with the Riksbank and money markets before moving on to government and mortgage bonds. To Read the Entire Report Please Click on...

This week, I am participating in a school-style debate at the Global Fixed Income Institute’s conferences in Madrid where the question before the house is whether or not inflation will resurface...

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators decreased bearish bets 10-Year Treasuries Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note...

Bond troubles could just be starting. This chart looks at the 10-year and 30-year yields. Each could be making Head & Shoulders bottoming patterns. If this pattern read is correct, each are...

Prior to recession, the yield curve becomes inverted, as indicated by the Forward Rate Ratio between the 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields (FRR2-10) being less than 1.00. The FRR2-10 has...

The U.S. 10-year YIELD continued to climb to a multi-month high at 2.42% prior to easing off a bit to 2.37%.Let's notice that since its April 3 pullback low at 1.80% (after a decline from 2.26%), the...

It's easy to find talk these days about the Fed moving interest rates higher. Humbly, I don’t know what Janet will do next. Could it be more important what billions of free-thinking people do...

Since my last post discussing YIELD into last Friday's low at 2.09% -- when I also commented that, "if I was refinancing my mortgage, I would give the benefit of the doubt to waiting a while longer...

Once again we begin with the Eurozone which seems to be the epicenter of global market volatility. One report in particular sent shock waves through the fixed income markets.Yesterday I talked about...

As John Maynard Keynes famously stated “When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, Sir?”. I am very close to changing my mind on the direction of long-term interest rates....

Decline to 1.843 completed wave X. From this level, U.S. 10-Year rallied in wave ((w)) in the form of a triple correction (w)-(x)-(y)-(x)-(z) where wave (w) ended at 1.989, wave (x) ended at 1.907,...

A “black swan” event occurred at a gathering of outlaw bikers on Sunday, May 17 in Waco, Texas. According to news stories a fight broke out between several motorcycle gangs at the Twin...