Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Long-dated U.S. Treasury bonds, as illustrated by the ETF (ARCA:TLT), have broken out and above the downward channel they were in. For those who believe U.S. Treasury bonds are not yet done with their...

US economic growth rebounded in the second quarter, but the Treasury market isn’t convinced that GDP’s 2.3% advance in the April-through-June period is the catalyst that will bring a rate...

Since the beginning of 2009, the U.S. 10-Year yield has averaged around 2.6%.Consequently, most investors feel that interest rates have nowhere to go but up. However, from 1930 to 1955, the U.S....

The following 1-Year Daily chart of 30-Year U.S. Bonds (USB) shows that a bearish moving average Death Cross has recently formed — warning that lower prices may be in store. However, the rising...

Our equity/bond model - This long term reliable investing model provides investors with simple decision making in the markets:When the model favors stocks, investors should overweigh in equities for...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators turned bullish on 10 Yr Notes 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note...

Friday was a surprising day for world markets as The Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) announced some interesting data points that have some marked implications for the US. The news wires were awash with...

There is seemingly a widening gulf in macro and monetary policy between the US and Germany. This is evident in the yield differential—currently 153bps—between the 10-Year Treasury and...

US State pensions face $1 trillion dollar funding gap in a world increasingly dependent on centralized promises. Even more troubling, this number is trending higher at an alarming rate: Greece-Like...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators trimmed bearish bets 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note futures...

10 Year Bund/ Treasury and Bund / Treasury Spreads Vs EUR/USDThe 10 Year Bund / Treasury spread at its last -1.55 monthly average is approaching important levels. Just below lies the 1 year monthly...

The chart of 30-year fixed mortgage rates dating back to the early ’70s is a sight to behold: For the last several years American borrowers have been blessed with the good fortune of...

During the past 3-4 weeks my preferred scenario called for the 10-year yield to stall at around 2.50% followed by a decline into the 2.10%-2.00% support zone prior to my expectation of the emergence...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators increased bearish bets 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note futures...