Bonds Analysis & Opinion

The U.S. 10-year Needs a Retrace to At Least Its Red Megaphone VWAP The 10-year needs to retrace to at least its red megaphone VWAP. It should hit the target at the bottom of a potential major rising...

Euro-area government bonds are falling out of favour.Top money managers are turning against securities after yields dropped to unprecedented lows across the region. Emerging signs of inflation are...

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (ARCA:TLT) had a great 2014 and early part of 2015. TLT hit the top of this steep rising channel a few months ago and stopped on a dime. Now TLT is attempting a...

The 2-year vs. 10-year spread often steepens when there is uncertainty. The Italian 2 year vs. 10 year are an indication of "spill over" from Greece.... Not alarming yet, but the market is starting to...

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators add to bearish bets US 10 Year Year Treasuries: Large 10-year treasury note futures traders and...

The March report of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index reaffirms what’s been obvious for some time: US economic activity in this year’s first quarter has been soft. It’s...

Many European officials are trying to reassure investors and send a signal to Greek officials that it is not 2010-2012. European countries are better positioned to deal with Greece. The banks are...

Since 2011 the financial markets have been dominated by rises in paper markets and declines in commodity markets.Group One Paper Examples: T-Bonds, US Dollar Index, S&P 500 Index Group Two...

In Sweden, the week ahead contains only the labour force survey where we expect another lacklustre outcome demonstrating still high unemployment rates and softer employment growth. We expect decent...

Review International rates - more spread widening between EUR/USD European government bond yields have continued to fall as the ECB purchase programme continues unabated. The programme has...

You may thinkthat this is April 2015, and for those who follow the calendar that is exactly correct. A month ago I couldn’t let Fluffy out at night without exposing the little girl to frostbite....

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators cut their bearish bets as 10-year yield was virtually unchangedUS 10 Year T-Note Treasuries: Large...

This recommendation was emailed to brokerage clients on April 17th 2015:On the radar:A minor flare up in Greece concern seems to have created a high probability bearish opportunity Treasuries. We like...

Mounting fears of a Greek debt default sent the country’s borrowing costs surging higher Thursday and prompted one prominent U.K. bookmaker to stop taking bets on the possibility of Greece...