Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Are bonds scared of copper heading higher? Are bonds scared of crude oil heading higher? Are bonds scared of the employment stats getting stronger? Humbly, I don’t just don't know. I do know...

The world is getting hyped up about bond yields lately with bonds of all stripes declining, as if we are in the midst of a debt Armageddon (we are and have been in the midst of a decades-long and...

Bond prices have been falling for 7 days in a row. Yields are now knocking at 3% for the first time since December, when they were still falling. The yield has crossed its 200-day SMA for the first...

US bond yields have jumped recently. The 10-Year Treasury is up from a recent low of 1.87% on April 17 to 2.26% yesterday. Everyone is blaming that development on the spike in Eurozone bond yields,...

Is the Fed losing control of interest rates? I always though that it was in control of them. If true, then does that mean that Janet is raising rates and not telling anyone? The table below looks at...

Those who claim there will be no Greece contagion need to consider yields in other European bonds. In spite of the fact the ECB is buying 60 billion euros of debt a month for 19 months, yields on many...

The U.S. 10-Year Treasury bill Just Reached VWAP of its Bottoming Megaphone (Red) The 10-year just reached VWAP of its red bottoming megaphone. I expect it to form a bottoming megaphone across VWAP...

Since 17 April, the U.S. 30-Year Treasury bond rate has increased 35bps from 2.51% to 2.86%. Given the volatility in the bond rate, this represents a 1.95 sigma increase, having a 2.5% probability...

The U.S. 10-Year T-Note is putting in a falling megaphone bottom (pink) as ES completes a rising megaphone top on Friday’s move up.The theoretical target for the 10-year is the red horizontal...

This past week saw a huge swing in interest rates at the long end of the curve with the long bond in particular getting knocked for a loop.As you can see from the chart, prices plunged lower...

In recent days, there have been lots of mixed and confusing signals coming out of the Eurozone and US economies, and investors have acted accordingly. On Friday, May Day was a happy day for stock...

Six years into a recovery, stocks at record levels, high-end real estate in the stratosphere and debt levels soaring in virtually every public and private sector. Time to scale back and protect those...

Weekly CFTC COT Net Speculator Report | 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators decreased bearish bets10-Year Treasuries Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note...

Over the past several months, the German bund has rallied and the euro has fallen. This Great Graphic from Bloomberg illustrates the co-movement. The 10-year bund yield is the white line. It fell...