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The National Bank of Canada The National Bank of Canada

The National Bank of Canada's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by The National Bank of Canada, including current material.
Canadian Manufacturing Sales Retreated 1.5% In July By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 16, 2012

FACTS: Canada’s manufacturing sales fell 1.5% in July, after a downwardly revised 0.8% drop in June. Manufacturers in 11 of 21 industries reported lower sales in July, but 80% of the decline was...

World: The ECB Has Done Its Job By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 13, 2012

Last week the ECB announced officially its intention to engage in unlimited purchase of the bonds of distressed countries if they request aid from the rescue fund and respect the conditions. This...

German Court Rules In Favor Of Bailout Fund, With Conditions By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 13, 2012

Germany’s Constitutional Court ruled that the country can legally participate in the eurozone bailout fund and budget agreement. However, the government would need the German parliament’s...

Economic News: Canada - 224.9K Housing Starts In August By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 12, 2012

FACTS: In Canada, for an ninth month in a row, housing starts exceeded 200K units at an annual rate in August (top chart), reaching 224.9K, a 16.9K or 8.1% increase from July. In August, urban starts...

Record Canadian Trade Deficit In July By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 12, 2012

FACTS: Canada’s merchandise trade deficit widened to CAD 2.34 bn in July from a downwardly revised CAD 1.9 bn deficit, much worse than what was expected by consensus. That was the worst...

Canada Home Resale: More Sellers, Fewer Buyers In August By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 10, 2012

There are fewer apartment sales but more sellers in the Toronto resale market. According to August data from the Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB), apartment sales were 24% lower than a year ago, but...

U.S. Jobs Reports Consistent With Weak GDP Growth By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 09, 2012

So much for the forecasting powers of the ADP whose strong number had raised hopes earlier about the employment situation. But the labour market remains fragile as evidenced by the weak nonfarm...

Canadian Employment Rebound In August By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 09, 2012

FACTS: Total employment surged 34.3K in August following a drop of 30.4K jobs in July. Full-time jobs were down (-12.5K) while part-time jobs soared (+46.7K). The goods-producing sector was down...

Grain Prices Up: More Bad News For Global Economy   By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 06, 2012

Summary• Despite the weakness of the global economy, the price of certain commodities has shot up over the summer. Oil has risen sharply on account of geopolitical tensions and renewed interest...

BOC Keeps Tightening Bias For Now By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 06, 2012

As widely expected, the Bank of Canada left interest rates unchanged at 1.00%. The BoC again stuck to its guns by leaving intact in its statement the phrase "some modest withdrawal of the present...

World: Another Central Bank Induced Gold Rush? By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 05, 2012

Even if Ben Bernanke’s speech in Jackson Hole provided little information about the timing and scope for Quantitative easing (QE), the word got around this weekend that four Federal Reserve...

Canadian Economy Expanded 1.8% In Q2 By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 02, 2012

FACTS: Canadian GDP grew 1.8% annualized in the second quarter of 2012. The prior quarter was, however, revised down one tick to 1.8%. Domestic demand grew 1.7% in Q2 as tepid consumption spending...

Canada: Real Gross Domestic Income Contracts In Q2! By The National Bank of Canada - Sep 02, 2012

The Canadian economy continues to expand, but for some reason, it seems that the same percentage point of real GDP is not providing the same degree of income as it used to. What’s happening?...

Quebec: Trade Deficit Widens In June By The National Bank of Canada - Aug 30, 2012

FACTS: The Institut de la statistique du Québec reports that Quebec’s trade deficit widened $232million in June to $1.75 billion (top chart). The value of exports was essentially flat...

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