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The National Bank of Canada The National Bank of Canada

The National Bank of Canada's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by The National Bank of Canada, including current material.
Canada: 204.1K Housing Starts In October By The National Bank of Canada - Nov 11, 2012

FACTS: For an eleventh month in a row, housing starts exceeded 200K units at an annual rate in October (top chart), reaching 204.1K, a 19.9K or 8.9% decrease from September. In October, urban starts...

US Fiscal Cliff And European Debt Crisis Focus Of Attention By The National Bank of Canada - Nov 11, 2012

With the U.S. elections behind us, the situation in Europe and the American fiscal cliff are now front and centre in investors' minds. European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi stated...

Economic Indicators Make Waves In Currency Markets   By The National Bank of Canada - Nov 06, 2012

Several economic indicators made waves in the currency markets last week. To everyone’s surprise, on Wednesday we learned that Canada’s GDP reading for August was much lower than expected,...

On Eve Of US Presidentail Election, Polls Show Obama 1% Ahead By The National Bank of Canada - Nov 06, 2012

On the eve of the U.S. presidential election, the most recent surveys place the incumbent barely 1% ahead of challenger Mitt Romney. The first Obama mandate was marked by historic levels of government...

Canada: Real GDP Shrank 0.1% In August   By The National Bank of Canada - Nov 06, 2012

Canada – In August, real GDP shrank 0.1%. Weakness was relatively broad based with only eight of the 19 sectors showing gains–the worst such ratio since the last recession. Goods...

U.S. Wage Bill Decelerates Despite Job Creation By The National Bank of Canada - Nov 04, 2012

The U.S. employment report showed an encouraging upturn in job creation in October. The private sector added 184,000 net new payroll jobs during the month, the best performance since last February. At...

Hurricane Sandy Leaves US With $50 Billion In Damage Expenses By The National Bank of Canada - Nov 04, 2012 1

The aftermath of Hurricane Sandy remained the focus of media attention Friday morning. According to the most recent estimate from Eqecat, which specializes in damage assessment, the total bill will...

Canadian Employment Essentially Flat In October By The National Bank of Canada - Nov 04, 2012

FACTS: Total employment was up 1.8K in October following a surge of 52.1K in September. Full-time jobs were up 7.3K while part-time jobs decreased 5.5K. Employment in the goods-producing sector was...

Offsetting The Bernanke Rally   By The National Bank of Canada - Nov 04, 2012

Global stock markets have generally trended up since June as the anticipation of monetary stimulus prompted a return of risk-taking. While liquidity injections by central banks in Japan and China and...

Ahead Of Friday's Data By The National Bank of Canada - Nov 02, 2012

Everything is slowly getting back to normal on the U.S. east coast. Markets were back in force yesterday, to the great relief of investors who were able to rebalance their positions for month end....

Canadian GDP Was Down 0.1% In August By The National Bank of Canada - Nov 01, 2012

FACTS: Real GDP decline 0.1% in August, following a 0.2% increase in July. The goods sector (-0.5%) fell sharply, after increasing 0.2% the month before. Among good producing sectors, Utilities...

The Day Ahead In Data By The National Bank of Canada - Nov 01, 2012

While yesterday was relatively calm here in Montreal, Hurricane Sandy continued her march inland south of the border. It appears that the U.S. east coast and its financial nerve centre on Wall Street...

Quebec: Record Trade Deficit In August By The National Bank of Canada - Nov 01, 2012

FACTS: The Institut de la statistique du Québec reports a record $2.44-billion trade deficit for Quebec in August, up $639 million from July (top chart). The value of exports fell $207 million...

Daily Update: October 31, 2012 By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 31, 2012

Media and investor attention is focused on Hurricane Sandy and the damages it is causing. American stock markets will be closed for a second consecutive day. The last time markets were closed for two...

NBFM Monthly Equity Monitor - November 2012   By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 31, 2012

The past few weeks have not been easy for global equity markets. The MSCI all-country index is down 0.7% so far this quarter, led by a 1.8% decline in the North American index. While it is true that...

Global Growth Outlook Continues To Drive Markets   By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 31, 2012

In contrast to comments he made in British Columbia the week before, Mark Carney’s Opening Statement on monetary policy mentioned that the BoC is still ready to increase the key interest rate,...

Review Of Canadian Economic Indicators   By The National Bank of Canada - Oct 31, 2012

Canada – In August, retail sales rose 0.3%, in line with consensus expectations. Sales were up in five of the 11 subsectors. Auto dealership revenues fell 0.2% after strong gains the prior...

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