Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Bullish bias on T-yields (negative for bonds) Original post

2017 has seen many hedge fund and portfolio managers send warning signals that an equity market correction is overdue. Overstretched valuations, tighter monetary policies, geopolitical risks, a...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large treasury speculators boosted their net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets last week following a deep decline the previous week,...

Volatility has returned, at least in the junk bond market. SPDR Barclays (LON:BARC) High Yield Bond (NYSE:JNK), and iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond (NYSE:HYG) both had the steepest decline...

You've heard it before, one person’s trash is another’s treasure. Some see a pile of junk while others behold the makings of a masterpiece. It's the same way in the markets where you buy...

First break of confidence for the Bund (FGBL) but only prices below 163 will call the current uptrend into question Original post

Let’s talk about junk bonds, which represent corporate debt issued by companies that have a significant chance of defaulting (meaning they don’t pay you back).Why would anyone want to lend...

In my conversations with clients, a common topic of interest is that of US high yield credit spreads. Indeed, it's almost the opposite issue of the stockmarket—if you think S&P 500 PE ratios...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large speculators sharply cut back on their net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders...

Resistance levels for yields are ahead Original post

Back in June, China’s federal bond yield curve inverted. Ahead of mid-year bank checks, short-term govvies sold off as longer bonds continued to be bought. It was for some a rotation, for others...

U.S. 10-Year T-Note bulls can remain optimistic for as long as yields trade below 2.40-2.45% Original post

Seems like its easy to say that inflation is back and interest rates have to rise. Below looks at the Inflation Indicator (TIP/TLT) and how it is experiencing a key test of resistance at this...

Who will be the next leader of the Federal Reserve? This past week we had conflicting news stories about the potential front-runner. But it seems we are now at the finalist stage, with Yellen and...