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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Jason Sen
Bund: First Support At 166.90/86 By Jason Sen - Jul 05, 2016

Bund first support at 166.90/86 but below here targets 166.74 then support at 166.64/60. Further losses however target minor support at 166.42/40 then a buying opportunity at 166.23/20. Longs need...

Brian Gilmartin
The Unrelenting, Unforgiving, Treasury Trade By Brian Gilmartin - Jul 04, 2016

“Sometimes it is good to have reminders of the mistakes you’ve made.” ~ Brian Bosworth, “The Boz”, ESPN’s 30-for-30If there is one trade that I haven’t done a...

Mike Paulenoff
Despite Stock Rally, 10-Year Yield Implodes By Mike Paulenoff - Jul 01, 2016 1

Despite a massive post-Brexit recovery rally in the global equity markets that should have calmed investors, we've instead seen another flight to safety into U.S. Treasuries, even as the 10-year yield...

Gary Christenson
What Could Possibly Go Wrong With Sovereign Debt? By Gary Christenson - Jun 29, 2016

It has been reported that about $10 Trillion of sovereign debt “yields” negative interest. Assume total global sovereign debt is about $60 Trillion.Therefore, about one-sixth of all...

Mike (Mish) Shedlock
30-Year And 10-Year Treasury Yields Approach Record Lows By Mike (Mish) Shedlock - Jun 28, 2016

Curve Watchers Anonymous notes treasury yields on the 10-Year notes and 30-year long bond are within spitting distance of all-time low yields.30-Year Bond Yield 10-Year Bond Yield 10-Year and...

Lance Jepsen
German Bund Yields Crash, ECB Blocked From Helping By Lance Jepsen - Jun 27, 2016

Brexit has crashed German bund yields. Current rules prevent the ECB from buying bonds that yield less than -0.40 percent.An estimated 800 billion euros of German bonds are not eligible for the EBC's...

Marvin Clark
Brexit: What Does It Mean For The Bond Market? By Marvin Clark - Jun 26, 2016

Key Points Britain's vote to leave the European Union has pushed down U.S. Treasury yields, as risk-averse investors have flocked to the perceived safety of U.S. government bonds. The Federal Reserve...

Tim Knight
Waiting For Bond Entry Point By Tim Knight - Jun 23, 2016

The closer we slip to 131.69, the more attractive I believe bonds are as a long position. Of course, I am not touching a thing until this Brexit insanity is done.

Mike (Mish) Shedlock
ECB Running Out Of Bonds To Buy For QE By Mike (Mish) Shedlock - Jun 23, 2016

ECB rules say QE bond purchases must be weighted according to size of the economy. That means German bonds are the preferred issue.The rules also stipulate a floor interest rate of -0.4%. Most German...

Wall Street Daily
Long-Term Bonds Are A Huge Value Trap By Wall Street Daily - Jun 21, 2016

As income-oriented investors continue to scramble to find decent yields, many are being enticed towards long-term bonds.Don’t be one of them. While the yields are tempting enough, they’re...

Elliott Wave Forecast
10 Year Yields Look To Bounce By Elliott Wave Forecast - Jun 21, 2016

10 YearShort term Elliottwave structure suggests that cycle from 3/16 peak, i.e. 2.00, has ended with wave W at 1.518. Rally from there is unfolding as a double three where wave (w) ended at 1.62 and...

Hale Stewart
U.S. Bond Market Week In Review: The Fed Doesn't Move By Hale Stewart - Jun 20, 2016

To no one’s surprise, the Fed left rates unchanged at their June meeting. Their statement contained the following analysis of the U.S. economy: Information received since the Federal Open Market...

Sober Look
What The Bond Market Is Telling Investors By Sober Look - Jun 20, 2016

Over the past month, the global bond markets have been sending out signals that all is not well with the global economies. Initially, the surge in negative nominal rates in Europe and Japan rattled...

John Mousseau
Tax-Free Munis: Q2 2016 Review By John Mousseau - Jun 19, 2016

Low, Lower, LowestThe tax-free bond market spent the second quarter slowly grinding to lower and lower yields – especially in the longer-maturity end of the curve where the muni market has set...

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