Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Near term U.S. 10-Year note yield outlook:In the Aug 3rd email, affirmed the view of another week or more of consolidating from the Jul 21st high at 1.63% but seen as a correction, and with a...

The 10-Year Treasury's advance yesterday has caused both short-term cycle oscillators to experience bullish crossovers and a bullish engulf pattern has formed on the daily chart. A close above 1.55%...

For the last several years, the 2-year Treasury yield has been trending higher. It’s been a slow crawl higher from a low base for this maturity, which is said to be the most sensitive for rate...

Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to...

The search for yield is on. This week’s chart shows the growth of a scary trend... negative-yielding debt. It’s spreading throughout the world like an uncontrollable wildfire. Who started...

Junk bonds have been good at sending risk-on and risk-off messages to the broad stock market. Below looks at Junk Bond ETF JNK over the past decade.Right now, JNK is at an important price point and...

Bond investors are typically believed to be more sophisticated, which largely explains the yield curve's near perfect history of recession predictions. This explains why many analysts have commented...

Admittedly with the benefit of hindsight, the recent backup in bond yields shouldn’t be a surprise. That’s because there has been a strong positive correlation between the daily Citigroup...

In financial and economic circles, the word “forever” is rarely uttered. In fact, the word “forever” has really lost its meaning in modern vernacular, commonplace only among...

U.S. municipal bonds have had a spectacular first half of the year. As of July 1, they returned 6.2 percent on a tax-adjusted basis, compared to the 2.7 percent for the S&P 500 Index, placing them...

The high forecast by the Hybrid Lindsay model for early last week was delayed for three days by option expiration. Even if the high is seen today or tomorrow, that would still be within the margin of...

In the last trading week, the Bund future formed a clean downward trend. This downward trend is easily visible in the hourly chart, and one can also see that on Friday evening, the Bund began a bottom...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators raised bullish bets 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note futures...

Ever since the 2008 financial crisis, there has been a persistent shortage of high-quality government debt. More than just a safe haven in times of financial stress—the so-called 'flight to...