Bonds Analysis & Opinion

This past Monday, as the markets broke out to new all-time highs, I increased net equity exposure in portfolios. However, I also took one other action -- I shorted interest rates to hedge the bond...

10 year US notes are turning slightly down for the last few days, so we are wondering if maybe market finally completed its ending diagonal since we have all the pieces in place. However, it's always...

For the past year, the Fed has hinted it would raise interest rates. But investors haven't bought what Janet Yellen has been selling, driving yields lower and bond prices higher and higher.Take a look...

Investors just can’t get enough of low (and falling) yields. There’s a “nearly insatiable global demand for yield,” observes Aaron Kohli, interest-rate strategist at BMO...

Personally I love junk bonds. Yields greater than typical bonds and a high correlation to the stock market is not a bad combination – typically. In fact, this combination can generate some...

Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls report was insanely strong, yet yields (interest rates) didn't move. Good economic news usually spikes yields because it means the Federal Reserve is more likely to raise...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators raised bullish bets 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note futures...

Let's have a look at a long-term perspective on Treasury yields. The chart below shows the 10-Year Constant Maturity yield since 1962 along with the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) and inflation. The range...

The ongoing plunge in bond yields to new record lows around the world is starting to become worrisome. The concern is that the bond market is foreshadowing a global recession. Here is the latest...

After dipping to a record low of 1.37% on Tuesday, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield ticked higher yesterday (June 6), settling at 1.38%, based on daily data from Treasury.gov.Has the downside bias...

Back in late-2014 I first proposed the idea of a blowoff surge higher in the long bond. At the time, many were very negative toward bonds and expected higher interest rates were just around the...

DOW – 108 = 17,840SPX – 14 = 2088NAS – 39 = 482210 Y – .09 = 1.36OIL – 2.39 = 46.60GOLD + 5.70 = 1357.20Longer-end Treasury yields traded near record lows, with the...

We calculate the 30 Year Bond versus Historical core inflation averages and it is not a pretty picture for Bond Investors. This trade exposes the fallacy of central bank policy because it moves the...

Note: We've update this commentary with data through yesterday's market close.Let's take a closer look at US Treasuries in the wake of the turmoil in Europe following the Brexit, leave vote in the UK....