Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Our equity/bond model - This long term reliable investing model provides investors with simple decision making in the markets:When the model favors stocks, investors should overweigh in equities for...

We discuss the topic of the Bond Market Bubble which came up this week as former Central Banker Alan Greenspan made multiple media appearances discussing the Bond Market being in a bubble, thus...

Greenspan is right, but the evolving train wreck is so slow that the majority believes headlines like the one below must be true.Central banks bought government debt during QE to relieve the burden on...

The stock market is close to a record high, supported by the outlook for moderate US economic growth. Yet the bond market once again seems to be pricing in the prospects for a weaker economy.The...

It is often said that the market for US Treasuries is the deepest and most liquid in the world. While that’s true, we have to be careful about what it is we are talking about. There is no single...

With healthcare reform sidelined, for the time being, the legislative emphasis has turned to tax reform. However, before tax reform, Congress must do two other things. The debt ceiling must be raised...

Looking at the weekly chart of the TNX, the CBOE 10-year Treasury Yield Index, I'd say the 10-year Treasury yield is at a critical level. A trade much lower in yield toward 2% and it would appear the...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Treasury speculators edged their bullish net positions lower in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of...

Note: We've updated this commentary with data through Friday's market close.Let's take a closer look at recent activity in US Treasuries. The yield on the 10-year note ended the day Friday at 2.24%...

The 10-Year T-Note Must Retrace to the Bottom of its Navy Blue Rising Megaphone & Gray Neckline The 10-year t-note has made a specialty for eight years now of avoiding a mandatory retrace to the...

Two weeks ago I highlighted a crucial area in the Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE:GOVT) here. The price of the ETF was breaking support of both a rising channel and a horizontal consolidation zone, once...

As the Bank of Japan is set to meet this week to review monetary policy settings, it's worth checking in on a couple of particularly relevant charts. The first one shows the Bank of Japan has now...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large speculators decreased their bullish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders...

After the big reflation reset in positioning, global bond markets are showing more signs of breaking down. We previously talked in detail about the idea of the reflation reset in the context of a...