Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Near Term US 10-Year Note Yield OutlookThe Mar. 23 email, again affirmed the view of a top at the Mar. 16 high at 2.00%, and with declines back to the Feb. 11 low at 1.53% (and even below, though...

Potential Price Channel Melt-Up Set-Up on the TED Spread The TED spread has a potential price channel melt-up set-up on the chart. After confirming a price channel with a period of coiling, the TED...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10-Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators decreased on standing long positions 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury...

The municipal bond market had a good first quarter in 2016. Overall yields have declined, with the AAA scale declining across the yield spectrum. Muni yields, however, did not drop as much as Treasury...

Near term U.S. 10-Year note yield outlook:In the Mar 16th email and the market near its recent highs at 2.00% (both a 50% retracement from the June 2015 high at 2.50% and the broken neckline of the...

Until last September, the Federal Reserve seemed to play down the market-based measures of inflation expectations, preferring the surveys that showed views were anchored. At the September 2015 FOMC...

The yield on the Japanese government’s 10-year paper traded negative yesterday for the 17th straight session. When Haruhiko Kuroda first announced his negative rate experimentation, the 10-year...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators have been on bullish side for four weeks 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year...

Bond Shortage!On Friday, yield on Japanese 10-year bonds hit a record low of -0.135%. According to Bloomberg, the chief strategist of Bank of America Merrill Lynch (NYSE:BAC) in Tokyo stated those...

Euro Bund first support at 161.10/05, before a retest of 160.82/80 lows. On a break lower this week look for 160.55/51, 160.33 and strong support at 160.20/15. First resistance at 161.39/43, but above...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators raised bullish bets to +68,087 contracts 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year...

Diverse forces coalesce each minute to form the market pricing of a sovereign bond. American Treasury 10-year notes function as the world’s US dollar sovereign benchmark. The German 10-year...

High Yield Bonds became a big topic of discussion in the market last summer. With the big fall in oil prices the topic making the rounds was that all the High Yield debt used to finance the shale...

Here's why it's time to by long-term U.S. treasuries (NYSE:TLT).The rising trend line off the July, 2015 low. The bull-flag pattern. The pull back and attemted bounce off the Fibonacci 50% retracement...