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ECB rules say QE bond purchases must be weighted according to size of the economy. That means German bonds are the preferred issue.The rules also stipulate a floor interest rate of -0.4%. Most German...
As income-oriented investors continue to scramble to find decent yields, many are being enticed towards long-term bonds.Don’t be one of them. While the yields are tempting enough, they’re...
10 YearShort term Elliottwave structure suggests that cycle from 3/16 peak, i.e. 2.00, has ended with wave W at 1.518. Rally from there is unfolding as a double three where wave (w) ended at 1.62 and...
To no one’s surprise, the Fed left rates unchanged at their June meeting. Their statement contained the following analysis of the U.S. economy: Information received since the Federal Open Market...
Over the past month, the global bond markets have been sending out signals that all is not well with the global economies. Initially, the surge in negative nominal rates in Europe and Japan rattled...
Low, Lower, LowestThe tax-free bond market spent the second quarter slowly grinding to lower and lower yields – especially in the longer-maturity end of the curve where the muni market has set...
Falling in love is one of the greatest experiences on earth. However, it also leaves us blind to the flaws or shortcomings of our counterpart. That is how I feel about bonds right now with the U.S....
There is a 4.5-year cycle in 10-year treasury yields you might find interesting. Yields are dropping and will likely reach all-time lows later this year. A Brexit could see a panic pushing yields down...
Central banks are encouraging excessive risk taking in the bond markets, setting the stage for the next financial crisis. Bill Gross is right - bonds are a systemic risk bubble right now.Conditions...
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield eased yesterday (June 15) to 1.60%–the lowest since late 2012, based on daily data via Treasury.gov. The downtick follows yesterday’s decision by the...
The volatility on FOMC days can be quite amazing even on days when the Fed does nothing unexpected nor says anything unexpected. Here is a case in point in regards to US Treasury Bonds. On the U.S....
Some days – well, on days like yesterday, and for the last few before – it seems like there are far too many TIPS. Although energy has slipped only mildly, and (let’s not forget!)...
US Treasuries have been chugging along as stocks flirt with all-time highs. And now with stocks pulling back slightly Treasuries are continuing higher. Lets set aside the fairy tale that stocks and...
Risk aversion continues to dominate the global financial markets on Brexit fears. Nikkei suffers another day of selloff and is trading down -204 pts, or -1.28% at the time of writing. That followed...
The dominant chart construction in Treasury Bonds (30-Year T-Bonds in chart below) is the 10-month symmetrical triangle completed on the weekly continuation graph in late January. The September...