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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Mike (Mish) Shedlock
ECB Running Out Of Bonds To Buy For QE By Mike (Mish) Shedlock - Jun 23, 2016

ECB rules say QE bond purchases must be weighted according to size of the economy. That means German bonds are the preferred issue.The rules also stipulate a floor interest rate of -0.4%. Most German...

Wall Street Daily
Long-Term Bonds Are A Huge Value Trap By Wall Street Daily - Jun 21, 2016

As income-oriented investors continue to scramble to find decent yields, many are being enticed towards long-term bonds.Don’t be one of them. While the yields are tempting enough, they’re...

Elliott Wave Forecast
10 Year Yields Look To Bounce By Elliott Wave Forecast - Jun 21, 2016

10 YearShort term Elliottwave structure suggests that cycle from 3/16 peak, i.e. 2.00, has ended with wave W at 1.518. Rally from there is unfolding as a double three where wave (w) ended at 1.62 and...

Hale Stewart
U.S. Bond Market Week In Review: The Fed Doesn't Move By Hale Stewart - Jun 20, 2016

To no one’s surprise, the Fed left rates unchanged at their June meeting. Their statement contained the following analysis of the U.S. economy: Information received since the Federal Open Market...

Sober Look
What The Bond Market Is Telling Investors By Sober Look - Jun 20, 2016

Over the past month, the global bond markets have been sending out signals that all is not well with the global economies. Initially, the surge in negative nominal rates in Europe and Japan rattled...

John Mousseau
Tax-Free Munis: Q2 2016 Review By John Mousseau - Jun 19, 2016

Low, Lower, LowestThe tax-free bond market spent the second quarter slowly grinding to lower and lower yields – especially in the longer-maturity end of the curve where the muni market has set...

David Fabian
Time To Rethink Your Love Affair With Bonds? By David Fabian - Jun 17, 2016

Falling in love is one of the greatest experiences on earth. However, it also leaves us blind to the flaws or shortcomings of our counterpart. That is how I feel about bonds right now with the U.S....

AG Thorson
10-Year U.S. Treasury Yields Could Drop To 1% By AG Thorson - Jun 16, 2016

There is a 4.5-year cycle in 10-year treasury yields you might find interesting. Yields are dropping and will likely reach all-time lows later this year. A Brexit could see a panic pushing yields down...

EconMatters
The Bond Market Bubble Is The Next Black Swan Event   By EconMatters - Jun 16, 2016

Central banks are encouraging excessive risk taking in the bond markets, setting the stage for the next financial crisis. Bill Gross is right - bonds are a systemic risk bubble right now.Conditions...

James Picerno
10-Year Ticks Lower As Fed Delays Rate Hike By James Picerno - Jun 16, 2016

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield eased yesterday (June 15) to 1.60%–the lowest since late 2012, based on daily data via Treasury.gov. The downtick follows yesterday’s decision by the...

Mike (Mish) Shedlock
How The Pros “Run The Stops” Treasury Bond Style By Mike (Mish) Shedlock - Jun 16, 2016

The volatility on FOMC days can be quite amazing even on days when the Fed does nothing unexpected nor says anything unexpected. Here is a case in point in regards to US Treasury Bonds. On the U.S....

Michael Ashton
As Inflation Risk Rises, Not Enough TIPS To Go Around By Michael Ashton - Jun 15, 2016

Some days – well, on days like yesterday, and for the last few before – it seems like there are far too many TIPS. Although energy has slipped only mildly, and (let’s not forget!)...

Gregory W. Harmon
Two Targets From The Break Out In Bonds By Gregory W. Harmon - Jun 14, 2016

US Treasuries have been chugging along as stocks flirt with all-time highs. And now with stocks pulling back slightly Treasuries are continuing higher. Lets set aside the fairy tale that stocks and...

ActionForex
Global Yields Fall On Risk Aversion By ActionForex - Jun 14, 2016

Risk aversion continues to dominate the global financial markets on Brexit fears. Nikkei suffers another day of selloff and is trading down -204 pts, or -1.28% at the time of writing. That followed...

Peter Brandt
U.S. Interest Rates And Fed At Disconnect By Peter Brandt - Jun 14, 2016

The dominant chart construction in Treasury Bonds (30-Year T-Bonds in chart below) is the 10-month symmetrical triangle completed on the weekly continuation graph in late January. The September...

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