Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Low, Lower, LowestThe tax-free bond market spent the second quarter slowly grinding to lower and lower yields – especially in the longer-maturity end of the curve where the muni market has set...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators are bullish for 2nd week 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note...

Falling in love is one of the greatest experiences on earth. However, it also leaves us blind to the flaws or shortcomings of our counterpart. That is how I feel about bonds right now with the U.S....

There is a 4.5-year cycle in 10-year treasury yields you might find interesting. Yields are dropping and will likely reach all-time lows later this year. A Brexit could see a panic pushing yields down...

T-Bonds have had a heck of a run. Whether you're talking about the last 6 months, the last 5 years or the last 3-and-half decades, bond prices have a come a long way. At the moment, t-bonds are...

Central banks are encouraging excessive risk taking in the bond markets, setting the stage for the next financial crisis. Bill Gross is right - bonds are a systemic risk bubble right now.Conditions...

The volatility on FOMC days can be quite amazing even on days when the Fed does nothing unexpected nor says anything unexpected. Here is a case in point in regards to US Treasury Bonds. On the U.S....

Some days – well, on days like yesterday, and for the last few before – it seems like there are far too many TIPS. Although energy has slipped only mildly, and (let’s not forget!)...

Risk aversion continues to dominate the global financial markets on Brexit fears. Nikkei suffers another day of selloff and is trading down -204 pts, or -1.28% at the time of writing. That followed...

The dominant chart construction in Treasury Bonds (30-Year T-Bonds in chart below) is the 10-month symmetrical triangle completed on the weekly continuation graph in late January. The September...

The stock market has seen various forms of extremely rare behavior over the past three years. The bond market has also checked some very, very rare boxes recently. From Bloomberg: Today’s bond...

The 30-year US Treasury Bond market has been trending up since 1981. This massive bull market is set to reach its conclusion next quarter if my analysis is correct.Let’s analyse the technicals...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators went long on 10-Year Notes 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note...

Lower yield(s) are pressing beneath key support in what has morphed from a possible bottom between July 2013 (1.38%) through mid-to-late 2015 (2.37%-2.49%) into a massive distribution pattern that...