Bonds Analysis & Opinion

The stock market has seen various forms of extremely rare behavior over the past three years. The bond market has also checked some very, very rare boxes recently. From Bloomberg: Today’s bond...

The 30-year US Treasury Bond market has been trending up since 1981. This massive bull market is set to reach its conclusion next quarter if my analysis is correct.Let’s analyse the technicals...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators went long on 10-Year Notes 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note...

Lower yield(s) are pressing beneath key support in what has morphed from a possible bottom between July 2013 (1.38%) through mid-to-late 2015 (2.37%-2.49%) into a massive distribution pattern that...

There are a couple elements of this perma-rising market that I actually applaud. One of them is precious metals, which I hope roars to the moon and beyond. The second is bonds. Looking at the chart...

Bund holding above 165.20/22 keeps the outlook positive and targets quite strong resistance at 165.51/55. We should struggle here again but picking a top at this stage is not a great idea, despite...

In March, the ECB decided to increase its asset purchases from 60 to 80 bln euros a month and to include corporate bonds. The corporate bond-buying program begins this week. We use a FAQ format to...

In the wake of amusing calls by various Fed presidents about impending rate hikes, Curve Watchers Anonymous has received numerous questions about the US treasury bull market.Specifically, readers want...

Hawkish sentiment was the norm at the Federal Reserve, guaranteeing a rate hike in the next few meetings. But Fed policy remains data dependent as their noted in their last policy statement:...

The word is out from the Fed: rates are going up. We all knew this, but the unfounded recession fears that briefly possessed market participants earlier this year made us forget it for a little while....

Long-term Treasuries are throwing caution to the wind this week - or more appropriately, seeding caution to the wind, with strong follow-up strength into Friday morning's US jobs report. And as much...

How dependent is the U.S. economy on stimulus by the central bank of the United States? Take a look at what has happened in the bond market since the Federal Reserve began to reduce asset purchases as...

The yield curve is becoming flatter. The difference between the 10-Year and 2-Year government bond is now approaching 1%. The yield curve tends to get flatter when the economy reaches the end of an...

Several Fed Presidents gave presentations this past week. All argued the U.S. economy was not only at or near full employment but also that prices were rising and would eventually attain the...