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Chris Kimble
German 10-Year Bond Yield Nearing Historic Breakout Level By Chris Kimble - May 09, 2024

Government bond yields and interest rates have been rising all around the world. And investors aren’t quite sure what to make of it.Perhaps there is some complacency that has set in after years...

Tim Knight
Bonds Continue to Rally Into a Bull Trap By Tim Knight - May 08, 2024

Bonds are continuing to rally into a fantastic bull trap. Here is the /ZB: The easier-to-trade instrument TLT is obviously sporting the same pattern. We’re just about to close that gap, which...

Brian Gilmartin
Annual Treasury Returns Remain Horrid By Brian Gilmartin - May 03, 2024

The one return stat that jumped out at me, was the +0.12% 10-year annual return for the TLT.That’s pretty grim. This is a table updated once a month. The only asset not included is...

Michele Schneider
Why Follow Junk Bonds? By Michele Schneider - Apr 25, 2024 1

Bonds issued by companies with a credit rating of BB or lower by S&P or Fitch, or Ba or lower by Moody's (NYSE:MCO), are considered junk bonds.Junk bonds, or high-yield bonds because the interest...

James Picerno
Treasury Market Bets Against Fed as Inflation Persists By James Picerno - Apr 11, 2024 7

The market continues to price the US 10-year Treasury yield well above its estimated “fair value,” based on the average of three models run by CapitalSpectator.com.Yesterday’s...

Chris Yates
Now Is Not the Time to Buy Bonds By Chris Yates - Apr 04, 2024 3

The fundamental outlook for bonds remains questionable at best. The leading indicators of growth and inflation for 2024 suggest both dynamics could put upside pressure on yields. Sentiment toward...

Brian Gilmartin
Bond Market Asset Class Annual Returns – Rate Cuts? By Brian Gilmartin - Mar 18, 2024

With the FOMC meeting announcement this coming Wednesday, March 29th, 2024, and Wall Street and the investment community still talking about potential interest rate cuts, it can’t be helped but...

James Picerno
10-Year Yield: Why the Hot Inflation Bounce Didn't Last By James Picerno - Feb 15, 2024 7

Yesterday I outlined the case that several ‘fair-value’ models suggest the current US 10-year Treasury yield appears high relative to the fundamentals.As a quick follow-up, what does a...

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