Bonds Analysis & Opinion

The big question everyone is asking today (and yesterday) is "Is the bottom in the bond market?"So far, following the FOMC decision, the market seems to think so. And following the jobs report...

The leaders of the European Union met last week to discuss how to rearrange the deck chairs on their political Titanic. While the decisions to continue to monetarily support Ukraine and now Israel...

The 10-year Treasury yield respected the 5% level – this is not a big surprise. However, to join the cheers that the only way for the yield is down, I need to see a confirmation below 4.35%...

United States 10-Year yields are closing in on 5%. What's the Big Deal? What does it mean for stocks and gold?

Bonds have been selling off for quite a while now Once considered the safest investment, the sell-off has proven how risky long-duration bonds can be This is a great opportunity for investors to...

Treasury yield levels are overwhelmingly a function of inflation. However, in the short run, a plethora of influences can explain deviations between yields and inflation. These factors, which we call...

Two weeks ago I pointed out one of the effects of higher interest rates is that leveraged return strategies get swiftly worse as rates rise. Today, I want to talk about another result of higher...

The US 10-year Treasury yield continues to rise, pushing ever higher above CapitalSpectator.com’s “fair-value” estimate, which is based on averaging three models. The trend...

The major issue with the bond market right now is the overwhelming amount of bond issuance combined with the notable absence of the usual buyers. In other words, the illiquidity is already causing...

Rising interest rates have created a decline in treasury bonds not seen in modern times.Well, they say crisis equals opportunity.This may be the case today as we look at a long-term...

Psychology in markets is always fascinating. In February 2009, I wrote “8 Reasons For A Bull Market.” While in hindsight, it is easy to see that was the right call, overall, psychology was...

The ongoing bear market in Treasury bonds is among the worst on record, but several sectors of the fixed-income market remain ports in a storm, based on year-to-date results through Thursday (Oct. 5)...

While bond yields have risen sharply lately, fund flows into bonds tell two very different stories. We have previously written much on the recent rise in bond yields related to economic growth, event...

The bond market rout continues to deteriorate and cause growing pains for banks.  Losses in long-maturity bonds are nearing historical levels after coming under severe pressure due to...