Bonds Analysis & Opinion

A quantitative run through of the Swedish fixed income market, starting with the Riksbank and money markets before moving on to government and mortgage bondsTo Read the Entire Report Please Click on...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators now bearish 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note futures traders and...

Long time readers of this site are aware that successful traders/investors learn how to read market sentiment. Positioning yourself on the correct side of a market is the key to profits. Do this, and...

With all the chatter about whether the Fed will hike on September 17 or not, let's do an interest rate and bond yield recap of where various rates are, where they have been, and where they are likely...

The massive liquidation of Treasury’s by the Chinese government has pressured Bond futures into testing support levels. On August 31st Bonds closed below the 100 DMA and today it so far has...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators net bullish bets at +1,313 contracts 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury...

The US 10-year Treasury yield has risen 30 bp since Monday's low-water mark. There are a number of reports that try to link the backing up in US yields to purported sales by China. The Chinese sales,...

A quantitative run through of the Swedish fixed income market, starting with the Riksbank and money markets before moving on to government and mortgage bonds. To Read the Entire Report Please Click on...

Rate Hike Odds Shift to DecemberThe Fed has been trying for months to convince the markets that rate hikes are coming in September. On Thursday the market took another look and came around to my point...

One of the best coincident and real-time indicators of bursting bubbles and recessions is the yield spread between US high-yield corporate bonds and the 10-year US Treasury. It isn’t flashing...

The 10-year Treasury bond has Broken Out of its Rising Wedge (Pink) for its Retrace to 125-16 The 10-year t-note has broken out of its extended rising wedge (pink) for its retrace to 125-16. Watch out...

Seems like every part of the market is at a crossroads. The equities market has been moving sideways at all-time highs for 6 months. Some indicators are positive and others support a bear case. U.S....

We have looked at plenty enough evidence in recent weeks that a crash is looming for US markets, and now we are going to take a look at another important piece of evidence that we haven’t...

Yesterday, in Blowout in Some Corporate Bond Spreads; Bond Funds Post 3rd Week of Outflows, I posted some charts directly created by "Fred" the Federal Reserve data repository.Those charts were in...