Market Overview

Consumers were less optimistic to start the month of February, as the U of Michigan sentiment index declined for the second straight month, from 71.7 to 67.8. It’s lowest level since July. The...

Geopolitics I: What Trump Wants from Canada & Mexico. It’s become abundantly clear to us what President Donald Trump wants from Mexico. To Trump, Mexico is a looming security threat. In his view,...

2025 is going to drive a lot of investors crazy with frustrating market behavior and fear. The fear will be real because the source of the investors’ frustration will be grounded in you, the...

QUOTE “Investing is not about buying good things, but about buying things well – and if you don’t understand the difference, you shouldn’t be an investor.” –Howard Marks Clearly, many operating in...

Inflation expectations are rising, driven by tariff concerns and impacting consumer sentiment. US job growth was lower than expected, adding to market concerns. Key events for the week ahead include...

Do you believe the economy is heading towards inflation? Well, the price will argue with that opinion.  Looking at my own trifecta of inflation barometers  The dollar would weaken  The silver...

Our main macro thesis for the first half of 2025 is that another disinflationary wave will hit the US. We expect core PCE to annualize at or below 2% in H1 2025. Our Leading Inflation Indicator...

SUN: Chinese Inflation (Jan) MON: Norwegian CPI (Jan) and GDP (Q4/Oct), EZ Sentix Index (Feb), UK GDP (Q4) TUE: EIA STEO WED: OPEC MOMR, US CPI (Jan) THU: IEA OMR, NZ Inflation Forecasts (Q1),...

I want to expand a bit on market liquidity and why modeling it is so crucial to the economy, inflation, and money management. Liquidity is the progenitor of Pento Portfolio Strategies’ Inflation...

Markets had an interesting end to the week with a mixed bag of jobs data leaving a lot to be desired. However, in 2025 Fridays have proven anything but disappointing thus far, and this week did not...

Investors have had to deal with the recent stock market volatility that has come along with President Trump's latest round of tariffs. While these are leaving a lot of uncertainty across the economy...

BigBearai Holdings Inc (NYSE:BBAI) provides artificial intelligence (AI)-powered decision-intelligence solutions. On February 5, 2025, its stock price climbed to a 52-week high. This coincides with a...

US consumer and producer prices are the main focal point. UK economic output data is to be watched too. But Trump and tariff headlines might be a bigger market driver. Trump rattles markets with...

Dollar rebounds ahead of NFP data. BoE cuts rates by 25bps, ultra-hawk votes for double cut. Canada’s jobs data to shake BoC expectations. S&P 500 and Nasdaq gain, Dow Jones slides. US Jobs...