Market Overview

QUOTE “Investing is not about buying good things, but about buying things well – and if you don’t understand the difference, you shouldn’t be an investor.” –Howard Marks Clearly, many operating in...

Inflation expectations are rising, driven by tariff concerns and impacting consumer sentiment. US job growth was lower than expected, adding to market concerns. Key events for the week ahead include...

Do you believe the economy is heading towards inflation? Well, the price will argue with that opinion.  Looking at my own trifecta of inflation barometers  The dollar would weaken  The silver...

This will be a hectic week. Earnings season is winding down, of course, but we have lots of economic data, starting on Wednesday with the core CPI, which is expected to rise by 0.3% m/m from 0.2%....

Our main macro thesis for the first half of 2025 is that another disinflationary wave will hit the US. We expect core PCE to annualize at or below 2% in H1 2025. Our Leading Inflation Indicator...

SUN: Chinese Inflation (Jan) MON: Norwegian CPI (Jan) and GDP (Q4/Oct), EZ Sentix Index (Feb), UK GDP (Q4) TUE: EIA STEO WED: OPEC MOMR, US CPI (Jan) THU: IEA OMR, NZ Inflation Forecasts (Q1),...

I want to expand a bit on market liquidity and why modeling it is so crucial to the economy, inflation, and money management. Liquidity is the progenitor of Pento Portfolio Strategies’ Inflation...

Markets had an interesting end to the week with a mixed bag of jobs data leaving a lot to be desired. However, in 2025 Fridays have proven anything but disappointing thus far, and this week did not...

BigBearai Holdings Inc (NYSE:BBAI) provides artificial intelligence (AI)-powered decision-intelligence solutions. On February 5, 2025, its stock price climbed to a 52-week high. This coincides with a...

US consumer and producer prices are the main focal point. UK economic output data is to be watched too. But Trump and tariff headlines might be a bigger market driver. Trump rattles markets with...

Dollar rebounds ahead of NFP data. BoE cuts rates by 25bps, ultra-hawk votes for double cut. Canada’s jobs data to shake BoC expectations. S&P 500 and Nasdaq gain, Dow Jones slides. US Jobs...

The Federal Reserve’s record of forecasting has frequently led it to respond too late to changes in economic and financial conditions. In the most recent FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve changed its...

Upcoming NFP Report Puts Bearish Pressure on Gold The gold (XAU/USD) price declined by 0.3% on Thursday as the US dollar (USD) strengthened ahead of the critical US jobs report. XAU/USD has been...

The NY Fed has recently published a study on bank failures in the U.S., examining the reasons why banks fail. For this study, the regulator constructed a large database with balance sheet information...