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James Picerno
Should the Fed Cut Interest Rates Today? By James Picerno - Dec 18, 2024 6

The market is confident that a 25-basis-points reduction in interest rate is a done-deal for today’s policy announcement, based on Fed funds futures. But the question of whether the Fed should cut is...

Lance Roberts
More Revisions Could Be Coming to Employment Data By Lance Roberts - Dec 18, 2024 1

In August, the BLS revised 2024 employment growth lower by 818k jobs in its preliminary revision of its Current Employment Statistics (CES). Despite the substantial revision, more reductions to the...

Matthew Weller
FOMC Preview: Cut Then 'Prudent Pause' From Powell? By Matthew Weller - Dec 18, 2024 3

FOMC Meeting Key Takeaways Traders and economists confidently expect the Fed to reduce interest rates by 25bps to the 4.25-4.50% range. The Summary of Economic Projections and any Powell comments...

Michael Gouvalaris
Record retail sales not as good as they appear By Michael Gouvalaris - Dec 17, 2024

Total (EPA:TTEF) retail sales for November came in better than expectations, now $724.6 billion and another record high. Retail sales are now +38% above the pre-COVID high. Novembers gain came in at...

Ed Yardeni
Is the Fed Inflating and China Deflating? By Ed Yardeni - Dec 17, 2024 1

Last Thursday, we wrote, "After today's PPI, we won't be surprised if Fed officials plant a story in The Wall Street Journal over the weekend titled something like "Fed Officials Might Vote To Pause...

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