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The market is confident that a 25-basis-points reduction in interest rate is a done-deal for today’s policy announcement, based on Fed funds futures. But the question of whether the Fed should cut is...
In August, the BLS revised 2024 employment growth lower by 818k jobs in its preliminary revision of its Current Employment Statistics (CES). Despite the substantial revision, more reductions to the...
Fed expected to cut, attention to fall on the dots. BoJ could stand pat but signal more hikes at the turn of the year. Sticky UK inflation keeps pound supported ahead of BoE. Will the Fed Deliver...
The FOMC meeting today is highly anticipated due to uncertainty surrounding future US monetary policy. Markets expect a 25 bps rate cut today and a slower pace of easing in 2025 due to...
FOMC Meeting Key Takeaways Traders and economists confidently expect the Fed to reduce interest rates by 25bps to the 4.25-4.50% range. The Summary of Economic Projections and any Powell comments...
It was another weak day for the markets. The S&P 500 closed lower by 39 basis points, but the weakness was more pronounced in the RSP equal-weight index, down 80 basis points. The Dow dropped for...
Key Takeaways The Fed is expected to lower interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 4.25% to 4.5%. Increased market instability is possible as the event looms. The US economy added 227,000...
Total (EPA:TTEF) retail sales for November came in better than expectations, now $724.6 billion and another record high. Retail sales are now +38% above the pre-COVID high. Novembers gain came in at...
Several updated nowcasts for US economic activity in the fourth quarter have been revised sharply higher recently, but the median estimate barely changed, based on the several data points from a...
The Federal Reserve’s last rate decision of the year is this week, and another rate cut is on the horizon. The market is pricing in a 97% chance of a 25 basis point cut, so that’s pretty much...
Its a busy week; we have the Fed, Bank of Japan, and Bank of England meetings, but all eyes will be on the Fed, which is expected to cut rates. Speculators are debating whether this could be a...
The US Dollar Index is up over 6% this year, almost all attributable to a post-election surge. As many developed nations show stagnant economic growth or even contraction, the U.S. economy continues...
US retail sales on the agenda today, but Fed rate cut looks secure. Dow Jones experiences its longest negative daily streak since 2018. Government crisis in Canada; Loonie could get a respite from...
Gold moves sideways ahead of the US interest rate decision Gold (XAU/USD) held above the $2,650 support level on Monday ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision as market...
Last Thursday, we wrote, "After today's PPI, we won't be surprised if Fed officials plant a story in The Wall Street Journal over the weekend titled something like "Fed Officials Might Vote To Pause...