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As new presidential terms go, this one’s off to a rocky start for the economic outlook, thanks largely to disruptive tariff plans that risk triggering a global trade war. Perhaps most surprising is...
Wall Street slumps as recession risks mount, but futures edge higher today. Dollar remains in freefall as Fed rate cut bets gather pace. Euro and pound extend surge but yen rally cools. Markets...
Gold Dips Ahead of US Inflation Data The gold (XAU/USD) price declined by 0.73% on Monday as traders began to reposition ahead of tomorrow's US inflation report. "There is a slight pause in gold...
ASX 200 SPI futures break key support, eyeing further downside if 7796 gives way. AUD/JPY tests March 4 low, with a break below 91.86 opening room for 90.27. RSI signals oversold conditions, raising...
Trump’s recession remarks rattled markets, but warning signs were already in place. USD/JPY holds trendline support, but downside risks remain. AUD/USD weakens, testing key moving average as...
Over the past few weeks, the focus has shifted from a resilient US economy to one that may fall into recession. From the business owner who’s worried about rising prices for inputs to the consumer...
We haven’t had to change our subjective probabilities for our three alternative economic scenarios for quite some time. We are doing so today and may have to do so more frequently in coming months or...
The US, Japan, and parts of Europe had a rough week, while China, Germany, France, and the Euro Stoxx 50 stayed steady. Tariffs, central banks, and the war in Ukraine keep markets uncertain,...
Dollar suffers from tariff talk and growth concerns Wednesday’s aluminum and steel tariff deadline in the spotlight US equities in need of a risk-positive sentiment boost Oil and cryptos remain...
Safe-Haven Demand Pushes Gold Higher The gold (XAU/USD) price remained relatively unchanged on Friday but had a weekly gain primarily due to safe-haven inflows amid rising geopolitical...
In this week's Tech Edge, we dive into the impact of tariffs on the AI trade and identify the areas with the best opportunities. Impact of Tariffs Tariffs are dominating the headlines, and investors...
Last week, the news flow around tariffs rocked the markets like small craft in stormy seas, and the end result has become an uncomfortable trend. The SPY closed with the worst 3-week slide since Dec...
We haven’t discussed global monetary inflation for a while, mainly because very little was happening and what was happening was having minimal effect on asset prices or economic performance. However,...
Last week, we discussed the more extreme levels of bearishness that have gripped the markets as of late. “In other words, while the media scrambled to align reasons with the sell-off, the correction...
I’m sure this week will be interesting, given the CPI and PPI reports. I’m sure the administration will have plenty of on-again and off-again policy statements about something. The one thing that...