Market Overview

Markets had another interesting week as US President Donald Trump pledged more tariffs ahead. A potential peace deal appears to be gaining traction between Russia and Ukraine but this did little to...

Germany goes to the polls, but far-right AfD is unlikely to form a government. German CPI data might be a bigger driver for the euro. US inflation is also in the spotlight as the PCE report is...

SUN: German National Election MON: Bank of Israel Announcement, German Ifo (Feb), EZ HICP Final (Jan) TUE: PBoC MLF, NBH Announcement, BoK Announcement, German GDP Detailed (Q4), US CaseShiller...

For Part 1 on “Tariff Risk” read: Tariff Impact Not As Bearish As Predicted. In “Trumpflation” we discussed why the tariff risk was not inflation. To wit: “Today, globalization and technology give...

Stocks in anticipation mode as gold retreats from new highs. Euro on the back foot despite positive PMI survey numbers. German election could result in a risk-off reaction on Monday. Yen suffers...

This article explores what is driving the alcohol industry's downturn and where the industry is headed. Introduction Every new year, millions of people commit to giving up various indulgences, such...

Dollar rebounds ahead of FOMC meeting minutes. RBNZ cuts rates by 50bps, signals slower easing pace. Yen gains on more BoJ hawkish rhetoric, UK inflation accelerates. S&P 500 enters uncharted...

Why the latest UK inflation figures are better for the Bank of England than they look at first glance Let’s start with the bad news: UK headline inflation is back at 3%, up from 2.5%, after briefly...

You need to become very familiar with inflation resurgence risk very soon Something very interesting is happening in the macro world right now. Central Banks have undertaken a mass-migration from...

There have been recent developments in the real estate sector guiding investors to become fearful of investing in stocks related to the space. However, not all stocks may be exposed to this level of...

Success in trading isn’t about guessing market direction—it’s about executing a well-defined framework with discipline and precision. This framework provides a structured approach to identifying...

The latest jobs data is relatively solid, even if the outlook is looking increasingly shaky. Redundancy levels are low, but the major risk is that begins to change ahead of tax hikes in the spring. A...

US Dollar stabilizes ahead of tomorrow’s Fed minutes.  Yen gains on BoJ hike bets, euro slides. RBA cuts rates but sounds cautious about future moves. RBNZ to deliver another bold cut, focus to fall...

Last week, we learned that the Consumer Price Index rose by 0.47% in January, well above expectations. Excluding food and energy, the news was not much better, with a 0.45% advance. It was a...