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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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Sober Look
Ready To Invest In A Domestic Bank-Issued Bond In China? By Sober Look - Aug 03, 2012

China's onshore bond market has grown to become the 4th largest debt market in the world (assuming the Eurozone is a single market). And the biggest component of the market is bank paper....

David Merkel
Limitations Of Credit Default Swap Spreads By David Merkel - Aug 02, 2012

Once I was talking to my boss at Provident Mutual about exotic options, like barrier, knock-out, and knock-in options. As I described them to him his reactions were: Why would I want to take that...

Benzinga
PIMCO On Spain: It's Too Late To Act By Benzinga - Jul 30, 2012

PIMCO published a report on Spain ahead of the ECB's much-anticipated meeting this week. The analysts at the famed bond-management company expect a lackluster response that is more of a band-aid than...

Doug Short
Treasuries Update: The Big U-Turn By Doug Short - Jul 29, 2012

What's New: After the yields on several Treasuries hit consecutive new lows early last week, the bond market did a complete about face. For example the benchmark 10-year went from a historic closing...

Michael Lewitt
Junk Bonds Are Fairly Valued By Michael Lewitt - Jul 27, 2012

The great economic historian Charles Kindleberger described a bubble as follows: “What happens, basically, is that some event changes the economic outlook. New opportunities for profits are...

Nicholas Santiago
Is Bond Market Calling Draghi's Bluff? By Nicholas Santiago - Jul 26, 2012

There is no denying that the Mario Draghi comments have caused a massive rally in today's stock markets. The important and highly followed SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA: DIA) is trading...

David Merkel
Four Ideas On Bond Investing By David Merkel - Jul 26, 2012

When it comes to bonds I have four main ideas.Invest in areas where you are more than adequately compensated for the risks.Try to be as unconstrained as possible.After a credit crash, wait for the...

Doug Short
Japan: Bond Yields Continue To Slide By Doug Short - Jul 25, 2012

Note from dshort: On Monday I posted an update on US Treasury yields, several of which hit historic closing lows. The 10-year had tied its historic low at 1.47. How low can the 10-year go? Yesterday...

Doug Short
Treasuries Update: Yet More Historic Low Yields By Doug Short - Jul 24, 2012

The eurozone debt crisis remains on the front burner. European indexes plunged again yesterday and Spanish yields soared to new highs. The selloff continued in US markets, and we saw more new closing...

Sober Look
5-Year Swiss Rate Goes Negative By Sober Look - Jul 24, 2012

The Swiss government bond curve is now negative for maturities of five years and under. Investors are willing to lock up a negative yield for 5 years just to get out of euro denominated assets without...

Doug Short
Treasuries Update: More Historic Low Yields By Doug Short - Jul 22, 2012

The eurozone debt crisis is back on the front burner. European indexes plunged Friday as Spanish yields soared back above 7%. US markets also retreated, but more dramatic was the drop in US Treasury...

David Merkel
The Education of A Mortgage Bond Manager, Part II By David Merkel - Jul 22, 2012

In much of my life, I have been thrust into situations for which I was not ready, and ended up rebuilding the wheel, or came up with an unorthodox approach that worked. But a lot of the problem came...

Sober Look
Implied Long-Term Rates In Negative Territory By Sober Look - Jul 20, 2012

The chart below compares the yield on the U.S. Treasury's 10-year zero coupon with the 10-year zero coupon inflation swap rate. The difference is the implied 10-year zero coupon real rate, which is...

Doug Short
Treasury Yields Update: The 5-Year At Historic Low By Doug Short - Jul 19, 2012

I was looking at the latest yield update from the US Treasury and noticed that the 5-year note closed today at 0.60. That ties the historic low set on Monday -- an occasion I didn't notice until now....

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