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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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David Merkel
On The Specialness Of Long Treasuries By David Merkel - Aug 23, 2012

When Gary Schilling presented to the Baltimore CFA Society, he made the comment about how much bonds beat stocks by. His proxy for bonds was 25-year zero coupon bonds. Invest in those from 1980 to the...

Doug Short
The Big Spread: 10-Year Yield Forecasts By Doug Short - Aug 22, 2012

Earlier this month the Wall Street Journal posted the results of its August Survey of economists conducted August 3-6 (xls file). Let's take another look at its estimates for 10-year yields. The...

Andrew Thrasher
Is The 10-Year Yield Calling For A Rise In Bond Prices? By Andrew Thrasher - Aug 22, 2012

Well the S&P 500 finally saw some weakness yesterday. Based on what I’ve seen on various blogs and Twitter, it’s amazing how quick traders' sentiment flipped to bearish. The last few...

Sober Look
Large Corporate Bond Issues Dominating Secondary Market By Sober Look - Aug 21, 2012

Earlier this year we discussed how the Volcker rule combined with Basel III is already reducing corporate bond liquidity by diminishing dealers' ability to make markets. It's just one of those...

The National Bank of Canada
Canada: Have Foreigners Lost Their Appetite For Our Bonds? By The National Bank of Canada - Aug 19, 2012

Foreigners reduced their holdings of Canadian bonds by $7.9 billion in June, the biggest net outflow since December 2008 when the global credit crisis was in full swing. What’s the cause of this...

Tim Knight
Bonds Near Targets By Tim Knight - Aug 16, 2012

I have been pretty vocal about these targets and we are getting very close to nailing them. Today could be the day for a -- probably temporary -- bottom to the bond drop.

T. Marc Schober
Bonds: Turning Japanese By T. Marc Schober - Aug 13, 2012

On June 4th, Bill Gross -- aka the “Bond King” -- tweeted: “Global Bond Markets are turning Japanese, I think they’re turning Japanese, I really think so.” Mr. Gross was...

Wade Slome
Equity Quicksand Or Bond Cliff? By Wade Slome - Aug 13, 2012

The markets are rigged, the Knight Capital Group (KCG) robots are going wild, and the cheating bankers are manipulating Libor. I guess you might as well pack it in…right? Well, maybe not. While...

David Merkel
On The Poway School District By David Merkel - Aug 10, 2012

I am not an expert on Municipal Bonds, so if an expert reads this, and has corrections for me, please leave corrections in the comments. In general, I am a conservative guy who avoids situations with...

Rick Ackerman
The Smartest Guy We Know Still Likes T-Bonds By Rick Ackerman - Aug 10, 2012

[We’ve featured the sage thoughts of our friend Doug Behnfield here many times. In the report to his clients below, the Boulder-based financial advisor reaffirms his strong conviction that...

Tim Knight
Bond Short Update By Tim Knight - Aug 09, 2012

TLT remains my only large short position, and it's also just about the only bright spot in my trading day. This is a beautifully-formed head and shoulders pattern, and the retracement to the neckline...

Sober Look
The US HY Bond Market Looks Overheated By Sober Look - Aug 08, 2012

The rally in leveraged finance markets is back on, as investors snap up junk bonds as quickly as they come to market. LCD: Price guidance for Iron Mountain’s [records-storage company] 12-year...

Tim Knight
Bond Breakdown Accelerates By Tim Knight - Aug 08, 2012

The only meaningful short I had entering the day was TLT, and it's doing pretty well. I think the ZB contract is going to head toward about $146, now that support has finally been broken.

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