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Bonds Analysis & Opinion

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David Merkel
Limitations Of Credit Default Swap Spreads By David Merkel - Aug 02, 2012

Once I was talking to my boss at Provident Mutual about exotic options, like barrier, knock-out, and knock-in options. As I described them to him his reactions were: Why would I want to take that...

Benzinga
PIMCO On Spain: It's Too Late To Act By Benzinga - Jul 30, 2012

PIMCO published a report on Spain ahead of the ECB's much-anticipated meeting this week. The analysts at the famed bond-management company expect a lackluster response that is more of a band-aid than...

Doug Short
Treasuries Update: The Big U-Turn By Doug Short - Jul 29, 2012

What's New: After the yields on several Treasuries hit consecutive new lows early last week, the bond market did a complete about face. For example the benchmark 10-year went from a historic closing...

Michael Lewitt
Junk Bonds Are Fairly Valued By Michael Lewitt - Jul 27, 2012

The great economic historian Charles Kindleberger described a bubble as follows: “What happens, basically, is that some event changes the economic outlook. New opportunities for profits are...

Nicholas Santiago
Is Bond Market Calling Draghi's Bluff? By Nicholas Santiago - Jul 26, 2012

There is no denying that the Mario Draghi comments have caused a massive rally in today's stock markets. The important and highly followed SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEARCA: DIA) is trading...

Doug Short
Japan: Bond Yields Continue To Slide By Doug Short - Jul 25, 2012

Note from dshort: On Monday I posted an update on US Treasury yields, several of which hit historic closing lows. The 10-year had tied its historic low at 1.47. How low can the 10-year go? Yesterday...

Sober Look
5-Year Swiss Rate Goes Negative By Sober Look - Jul 24, 2012

The Swiss government bond curve is now negative for maturities of five years and under. Investors are willing to lock up a negative yield for 5 years just to get out of euro denominated assets without...

Doug Short
Treasuries Update: More Historic Low Yields By Doug Short - Jul 22, 2012

The eurozone debt crisis is back on the front burner. European indexes plunged Friday as Spanish yields soared back above 7%. US markets also retreated, but more dramatic was the drop in US Treasury...

David Merkel
The Education of A Mortgage Bond Manager, Part II By David Merkel - Jul 22, 2012

In much of my life, I have been thrust into situations for which I was not ready, and ended up rebuilding the wheel, or came up with an unorthodox approach that worked. But a lot of the problem came...

Sober Look
Implied Long-Term Rates In Negative Territory By Sober Look - Jul 20, 2012

The chart below compares the yield on the U.S. Treasury's 10-year zero coupon with the 10-year zero coupon inflation swap rate. The difference is the implied 10-year zero coupon real rate, which is...

Doug Short
Treasury Yields Update: The 5-Year At Historic Low By Doug Short - Jul 19, 2012

I was looking at the latest yield update from the US Treasury and noticed that the 5-year note closed today at 0.60. That ties the historic low set on Monday -- an occasion I didn't notice until now....

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