Bonds Analysis & Opinion

German Bund yields holding on to last week’s gains confirm the market’s recessionary mood. We identify potential drivers for 10-year yields crossing below 1%. US data should add to the...

Treasury yields on the 10-year note are balancing on daily support, that is on the neckline of a bearish potential head & shoulders formation. In case of a break below, this would be good for...

One of the most important themes during the first half of 2022 is rising interest rates. With the Federal Reserve focused on stopping inflation, it’s a legitimate concern.But is there also a...

The Treasury yield curve is widely used as a first approximation of estimating recession risk. This is usually limited to one or two sets of maturities. Does this simple model find traction if we...

US headline inflation continues to set to new four-decade highs and the Federal Reserve continues to signal that it will continue raising interest rates. The bond market, however, is starting to...

Fixed-income markets in the US reverted to their traditional role of delivering upside support when the rest of the portfolio tanks. It’s too soon to say if this is a return to form for bonds...

Political crisis in Italy has been reflected in the widening spread in the Italy 10 Year vs. Germany 10 Year bond, but remember: not yet to the extent of the pandemic depths. Will the ECB have the...

3% plus United States 10-Year yields seem to have been too much for the market now. Was it the weak stocks and weakening economy driving yield expectations lower? However, the bond market is still not...

Short-term yields rise on more aggressive rate hike expectations…The logical, first-order effect of the hotter-than-expected inflation report was that it drove up expectations for near-term...

The MOVE Index measures Treasury rate volatility through options pricing Daily bond market swings are the wildest since the Global Financial Crisis  Yield volatility and credit spreads are key...

The yield on the United States 10-Year Treasury note slipped below its 2-Year counterpart for the first time in 15 years.The yield on the benchmark 10-Treasury tumbled 10 points below the 2-year rate,...

As growth concerns clash with further tightening from the Fed, all popular measures of the US yield curve are inverting, except for one—the 10-year/3-month spread, which, although flattening...

The two bond ETFs we've highlighted suggest something is brewing in the corporate credit market. Keep an eye on these two corporate bonds ETFs to stay ahead of the curve in the stock market. Maybe...

While the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rallied sharply on July 6, the benchmark has declined materially from its 2022 highs. Moreover, with the USD Index marching to another new 2022 high, the...