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James Picerno
Why the Bond Market Is Becoming More Volatile By James Picerno - Apr 12, 2023

Last month we looked at how stock market volatility ebbs and flowsHow Monitoring Volatility Regimes Helps Anticipate Key Market Pivots through time. Let’s pick up this thread and do the same for...

Michele Schneider
Junk Bonds: Best Equity Predictor By Michele Schneider - Apr 12, 2023 3

Junk bonds are high-risk, high-yield bonds issued by companies with lower credit ratings. These bonds are also known as speculative-grade bonds or high-yield bonds because they offer a higher rate of...

James Picerno
Corporate Bonds Ex-US Led Market Gainers Last Week By James Picerno - Apr 10, 2023

Bonds issued by companies outside the US rose for a fifth straight week, securing the strongest performance for the major asset classes, based on a set of ETFs in last week’s trading.Invesco...

Michael Lebowitz
Bills, Notes or Bonds: Which Is the Safer Bet? By Michael Lebowitz - Apr 05, 2023 6

Two hundred and sixty Fed meetings will occur between the issuing and maturing of a United States 30-Year Treasury bond. There will be 260 times when the Fed raises, lowers, or does nothing with Fed...

Steve Saville
A Yield Curve Reversal Looms By Steve Saville - Apr 04, 2023

The US 10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread, a proxy for the US yield curve, has rebounded sharply over the past couple of weeks (refer to the following daily chart) from more than 100 basis points below...

James Picerno
U.S. Bond Rally Signals Pause in Rate Hikes By James Picerno - Mar 24, 2023

Turmoil in the bank industry and renewed concerns of economic headwinds are driving expectations that Federal Reserve's interest-rate hiking is at or near an end. In turn, the outlook has sparked a...

Michele Schneider
Long Bonds and Gold Rally Amidst Market Chaos By Michele Schneider - Mar 13, 2023

On March 7, we asked Will the Market Internals Turn More Bearish? While we focused mainly on Jerome Powell’s testimony, where he said,  "If the totality of the data were to indicate that...

James Picerno
No Free Lunches in the Desperate Search for Yield By James Picerno - Feb 23, 2023

Cash is no longer trash, courtesy of sharply higher interest rates. Trailing yields on risky assets are looking up too.The source for the change in payout rates, of course, is a run of rate hikes by...

Alfonso Peccatiello
Is it Time to Buy Bonds? By Alfonso Peccatiello - Feb 22, 2023 6

There is a time to be long, a time to be short, and a time to go fishing.As inflation skyrocketed and the Fed turned hawkish, bonds were kryptonite for investors for most of 2022: it was time to be...

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